Dubs

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About me Electrical engineer turned prop trader
Online Joined Wollongong, Australia
Markets Allocation
50 % cryptocurrency 25 % indices 25 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 25% | 1 BTCUSD 25% | 1 BTCCNY 25% | 1 SPX 25% | 1
Dubs Dubs SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P500 headed to Liquidationland
145 0 2
SPX, D Short
S&P500 headed to Liquidationland

Expecting the S&P500 to make a new low from these levels. The blue bars are the GFC top and show a lot of similarities to the current topping formation. At this point, the blue bars retraced by 50% and continued down to a region that triggered a lot of margin calls. I think the same thing will happen if 1800 is broken, with the first support at the GFC high, and a ...

Dubs Dubs USOIL, 60, Short ,
USOIL: Oil bounce, then new low
419 1 5
USOIL, 60 Short
Oil bounce, then new low

Oil is currently dropping on a lengthy RSI divergence - i'm expecting a bounce at the OTE retracement (half way between 0.618 and 0.786 fibs) or with less probability at the 0.786 fib. Expecting resistance in the area between $31.60 (0.382 retracement of the $34.76 high) and $31.75 (previous support), which should cause a retest of the $27.50 low.

Dubs Dubs BTCCNY, D, Short ,
BTCCNY: Bitcoin headed back down?
126 0 1
BTCCNY, D Short
Bitcoin headed back down?

Daily RSI is extremely overbought for not having broken out of the long term downtrend, and price has hit this line and the median line of the downtrend. Looking at low at previous support of $99 if $220 support breaks.

Dubs Dubs BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Repeating History?
93 0 4
BTCUSD, D Long
Bitcoin Repeating History?

There looks to be a lot in common with the current bitcoin price action compared to that in May 2014. With 18k BTC swaps loaned on Bitfinex, a push above $300 will also be fuelled by margin calls of shorts opened in the $210 to $240 consolidation range, which could result in a spike to the 1.618 extension at around $400.

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