Hello everyone, as title says, today I would like to speak about the S&P500 and its market valuation in the current economic environment. Since I prefer to study and analyze markets on higher time frames rather than day-to-day, this Case Study is based on quarter outlook (3M chart), to capture most of the available information using metrics that have...
Hello guys, today I am back with an Elaboration on my previous Q2 Outlook ↓↓↓ With halving in front of us and all the hype it brings in, I can see mostly people who think that after halving we have to go to ATHs no matter what. So I decided to bring counter points to their views with reasonings as to Why I am currently more bearish than bullish. If you are...
Hello everyone, hope you guys had a great Easter Holiday. Same as in Q1, I decided to share with you What I Think is the Most likely going to happen with price in Q2 , purely based on current micro¯o economic conditions and indicators, plus what are charts presenting right now. Before I get to the business, I would like to reflect on my Q1 outlook, mostly...
Hello everyone, lets jump in.. So bellow you can find screenshots, with every relevant timeframe to be looked at, to make a better educated guess at least in my opinion. First of all, I need to say, that this Idea DO NOT have to play out immediately, IF ALL! BUT Since Highest Timeframe we operating with is 3Month, there is still like 60Days window in which...
Hello everyone, hope you guys doing great.. Firstly I would like to adress something from *Last update*, since some of you may been confused.. When I ment in update, that I expecting *Bearish Sentiment for 0-48hours* - IT MEAN, I EXPECT BEARISH SENTIMENT FOR 0-48 - Not for 5D, Week, Month etc.. and as far as Im concern, thats exactly what happend, before market...
Hello everyone, just a quick update to Yesterday Weekly outlook.. 4h Idea Breakdown chart: Reasons WHY Short in next 0 to 48 hours: 1 - is Lower Close then 2 2 - is Highier Close then 3, BUT it have Lower Candle High 3 - have Lower Close then 2 and Last Green Candle, BUT in the same time have Highier Candle High...
Hello everyone, just a quick Weekly update.. I believe that not much changed Price wise since last week, BUT we got some developments and news from Macro Economy perspective... So, Im still somewhat alerted we are RIGHT now possibly "around" or "not so far" from High, before of "reversing" at for week/two.. WITH still having in mind, that ONLY ONE TIME in...
Hello everyone, hope you guys doing great. So those who follow know, that my close monitoring and breaking down chart payed off... Since we was able to recognize that probabilities of reverse shifting and favouring Upside price targets when Price was refusing to go lower under price level I ment in last updates.. So hope everyone bagged some profits already,...
Hello everyone, I have to update on update of previous post, to break it down little clearer for some of you, to explain why RIGHT NOW Im very causious... For that purpose Im going from Highier to Lower timeframes, to get clearer picture of what is the MOST possible at this moment.. So, If we go from 5Day to 4h timeframe, its clearly to see that we are...
Hello again, so little quick cooperation on my statement : That by prolonged time of staying in highier price range without retracing down, odds are shifting to probability of going highier with time. So for better visibility I colored chart.. Now its clearly to see, that we stuck in price accumulation before unloading move.. But, its aswell clearly to see,...
Hello guys, great week to everyone. So my view on BITCOIN didnt change in last days. I think the IDEA from last Update is still in play. But - Im staying alerted, since trading range is getting squeezed into tight range, so I would be expecting highier tide of volatility to come sooner rather then later. For this reason, I would again suggest to EVERYONE...
Hi again... As I ment in into, I think this FED meeting was kinda good lead what to expect next, especially because J.Powell insight, since he run the show. To understand better my Idea whats going on, I try to break Weekly time frame into Daily chart posted under.. _________________________________________________________________________________ So, in...
Hello everyone, new week, new BITCOIN update. Hope everyone doing great! ____________________________________________________ This week should be lot of FUN, due to FED meeting at Wednesday, Im expecting increase in volatility so I suggest to everyone act accordingly. So as I ment in Last Update, there was increased chance of retracing back to Highier prices,...
Hello everyone, Im back with just quick update to Monday pre-Market idea __________________________________________________ So, as expected we went lower really close to our Sellside t1. Price didnt touch our t1 box, but if you trade with Trailing Take Profit, you should be taking some profit-% off the table at this point. Today and Tommorow, there should be...
Hello everyone, as I ment in last week idea, I am expecting BTC rather going LOWER then Highier, prior to FED meeting which is next week. Since we doesnt have much volatility last week, Im would expect bigger moves to occur later this week, when Market related reports start coming... To understand further view I would suggest to first check this out: As...
Hello guys, today Im back with close up on, What do I expect from BTC, prior coming close to FED meeting Jan31'. I will try make it clean and simple, since thats How I prefere to handle trades. On chart I marked Liquidity boxes for each Buyside and Sellside, those are my main targets in IF scenario. -- IF scenario is --> IF price come HERE, I do THIS! -- ...
Hello everyone, in yesterday post I spoke about what do I expect for Q1 2024 moving further .. Today, I would like to elaborate in POINTS, WHY I think is necessarily to be VERY CAUTION in current Market conditions. Will be using 15D timeframe to capture as much data as possible. To get clearer picture of what is possible moving into future, we need to focus...
Hello fellow traders, hope everyone is doing well. In this post I try to explain What & Why is expected from Cryptomarket in Q1 2024. This idea is based on micro and macro economy outlook, in which the most important part is Interest Rate of FED as a moving tool. Aswell, note that current market environment in which Interest Rates was elevated occured only ...