Kaustubh

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About me http://in.linkedin.com/in/kaustubhshinde/
Joined shindek1
Markets Allocation
34 % forex 27 % stocks 11 % indices 27 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 19% | 12 USDJPY 8% | 5 SPX 8% | 5 GLD 6% | 4
Kaustubh Kaustubh HDFCBANK, W, Short ,
HDFCBANK: Ominous signs for HDFCBANK
6 0 2
HDFCBANK, W Short
Ominous signs for HDFCBANK

Looks ripe for a significant correction on weekly charts. HDFCBANK being the biggest contributor of the BANKNIFTY, the index should follow if this pans out. With RBI policy meet this week and impending Gujarat election, it won't take much for hell to break lose. I think it's very good time take profits off the table on bank stocks.

Kaustubh Kaustubh KPIT, D, Short ,
KPIT: KPIT Short
9 0 2
KPIT, D Short
KPIT Short

IT sector has had a brilliant time in last month or so. KPIT was super. The tide is turing now. 140 seems likely from current levels

Kaustubh Kaustubh MINDTREE, W, Long ,
MINDTREE: MINDTREE Long Term Buy
9 0 1
MINDTREE, W Long
MINDTREE Long Term Buy

The chart says it all. Strictly cash buy. No leverage. Will pay off well. Has a long way to go.

Kaustubh Kaustubh MARUTI, D, Long ,
MARUTI: MARUTI Buy
11 0 2
MARUTI, D Long
MARUTI Buy

MARUTI just broke above the consolidation upper range. It should have a clean run till 8500. About 3% upside from CMP

Kaustubh Kaustubh DJI, M,
DJI: Dow
112 0 4
DJI, M
Dow

This is the most overbought condition in 20 years~ Doesn't mean shit should go down. It just means when it does it will big time. Congratulation Fed!

Kaustubh Kaustubh DIVISLAB, D, Long ,
DIVISLAB: DIVISLAB buy
16 0 4
DIVISLAB, D Long
DIVISLAB buy

DIVISLAB has been in a long downtrend followed by a lengthy consolidation. It has just broken above the range and looks good for follow through. The logical first target is 710 and eventually, if the rally sustains, it should fill the gap at 760

Kaustubh Kaustubh MARUTI, 60, Long ,
MARUTI: MARUTI Buy
10 0 4
MARUTI, 60 Long
MARUTI Buy

MARUTI has been in sustained uptrend and any consolidation has been a great buying opportunity. It has just finished a consolidation phase and looks set for another leg up. The auto sector in general has witnessed some consolidation after a very strong trend. APOLLOTYRE also looking very good for short term but MARUTI has lower volatility

Kaustubh Kaustubh TATAPOWER, 240, Long ,
TATAPOWER: TATAPOWER super bull
34 0 3
TATAPOWER, 240 Long
TATAPOWER super bull

My earlier message about this scrip is void. It was only till the expiry which was today. This sector has seen too much of negativity in the short run. Technically, the price has broken the downward pattern. It has to test the high to contemplate a run downwards. 86 is the short term target and 91 for medium term **if the short term goes well**.

Kaustubh Kaustubh SBIN, W, Short ,
SBIN: SBIN, PSU banks in general
32 0 3
SBIN, W Short
SBIN, PSU banks in general

So, the time has caught up with irrational exuberance on banking sector in India. The ridiculous rally banknifty saw over last few months lacked any fundamental push as such. Now it all seems to be unwinding. And this is going to be good! In this chart we see State bank of India has broken the steep weekly channel quite significantly. 260 at least would be a ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: Ominous signs ahead
79 0 5
SPX, D Short
Ominous signs ahead

Multiple red flags appearing on the horizon. 1. VIX has taken off while SPX is still pretty much range bound. It means investors are increasingly getting jittery about the elevated equities even though the equities haven't corrected as much. Any small trigger could possibly initiate accelerated fall in this scenario. 2. US 10Y yields (not shown here) are down to ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh DJI, D,
DJI: Something's got to give
42 0 1
DJI, D
Something's got to give

The DJI and SPX have been picture of clam for last month or so. But other markets are giving some very interesting cues. We could be in for some very interesting movements in a week's time when the Trump inauguration happens. All the details around this would make this post very long. I have the detailed rationale posted at ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold primed for a leg up
65 0 6
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold primed for a leg up

See the chart. Gold is good buy right now. Also check out my other posts to see the context and bigger picture

Kaustubh Kaustubh USDJPY, W, Short ,
USDJPY: USDPY and Risk on in general
126 0 7
USDJPY, W Short
USDPY and Risk on in general

Trump trade has had a beautiful run so far. No complains. Was needed. It looks to be aging now though. Would be smart to book profits if you are already in there. The honeymoon period would be over when the president-elect becomes the president. Or likely before that. If this holds, naturally, all risk on assets should go down. Spx ( See my recent post) would be ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh SPX, M, Short ,
SPX: spx short related post
58 0 3
SPX, M Short
spx short related post

This is just monthly chart relevant to my previous post

Kaustubh Kaustubh SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: spx short
39 0 2
SPX, D Short
spx short

I don't know why my previous post didn't go online. Anyways..Second try. My first call on spx failed. You can see that in my history. Having said that the rationale is intact. SPX is overbought like anything in recent history. I am going to link monthly chart to this. So watch out.

Kaustubh Kaustubh SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: SP500 short
44 0 2
SPX, D Short
SP500 short

Second call against the grain. When the first failed! Please see the related links at the bottom and writeup in the chart.

Kaustubh Kaustubh SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: SPX short
89 0 4
SPX, D Short
SPX short

Nice short set up brewing up here. Double top formation with a tired rally as reflected by divergence in CCI. Also, the Vix is below 12. Not sustainable. Short term target 2190. If sustained, could target 2160

Kaustubh Kaustubh USOIL, W, Long ,
USOIL: Oil ready to break out of slumber
43 0 2
USOIL, W Long
Oil ready to break out of slumber

This weekly chart of USOIL is beautiful in its simplicity. With the OPEC finally managing to agree to act in common interest, a strong up move would be fundamentally supported and sustainable too. This should tie up well with the USDJPY idea posted earlier (see related ideas below) and the possible risk on scenario.

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