When RSI hits 20 or below, there's a 75% chance it returns below 20. You're looking for a lower low where the rsi doesn't sink below 20. You can see the divergence here and this should be our reversal area. It looks like wave 1 has just occurred. Some conservative targets here.
Shorting btc with a grain of salt. With institutional buying, dips may be bought up hard. The first target, fib 4.236 is the wave3 extension of wave 1. There is also a confluence of wave 5 target, .618. This is project from ends of wave 2,3,4. Could go higher in blow off top. Div on Volume, RSI, and price oscillator