LagunitaLLC

LagunitaLLC

Tomorrow will be a rally (temporary) as some institutions signal a "buy". This due to the decline of the VIX index, which is a "fear" index. In a nutshell: whenever the VIX goes up, the market goes down; the VIX goes down, the market goes up. Please check the pattern of Dotcom and 2008 financial crash, However, there is still no evidence for a "buy" judging on...

LagunitaLLC

Tomorrow will be an extremely volatile day. Pre-market is already down 4.22% This is a good opportunities to jump in short positions. Why? +Unemployment data will be release this week and it won't be pretty. +Trump's package might be delay due to disagreement with Democrats. +Fed will continue to pump in $500 billions in mortgages/private securities. Technical:...

LagunitaLLC

Tomorrow will be an extremely volatile day. Pre-market is already down 4% This is a good opportunities to jump in short positions. Why? +Unemployment data will be release this week and it won't be pretty. +Trump's package might be delay due to disagreement with Democrats. +Fed will continue to pump in $500 billions in mortgages/private securities. Technical:...

LagunitaLLC

3 big factors will reverse the bearish trend tomorrow in short-term. + Trump's plan: $1200 check for American working class with income less than $75000 (base on Tax return 2018). $600 for people without any tax liabilities last year. + Fed is going to pump $500 billions as schedule + Oil Price: +4% (People are looking at solutions to end the Oil war). Other...

LagunitaLLC

Even when the NASDAQ FUT is down 800p, there are still a lot of factors that could reverse the trend tomorrow. 1. FED: They are going to pump cash in loan, mortgage securities again as scheduled (550 billions dollar in total). 2. Trump's plan: The government is working as fast as possible to settle the bills which provide every American $2000 in April. Still,...

LagunitaLLC

Tomorrow (03/19/20) and a day after (03/20/20) are the two days when FED pumps the money into the market: 50-billion cash on Thursday, 500-billion cash on Friday, for private securities and mortgage-back securities. The market will be extremely volatile in the next two days, as Options are coming to an expiration day. Spread will be huge. Technical: The SP500...

LagunitaLLC

FED pumps their money inside the market earlier than expect. However, the sell-off won't stop due to restaurant and pubs closure. +Effective today: Restaurant close down their business (temporary). Gathering of 10 people are banned. This will affect tremendously on restaurant owners and their works. Some will lose their job. Services sector take 70% of US income....

LagunitaLLC

FED has pumped their money into the stock market sooner than expect (before this Friday 03/20) to calm the sell-off. However, in after hour and future index, there is a massive sell-off right now. Soon, it will hit the 5% down limit again. Be wise. 2 reasons: +Trump administration bans gathering of 10 +He also shut down most the restaurant, effective immediately,...

LagunitaLLC

People will see the bullish market tomorrow. Probably last for a whole week, as Fed has scheduled some "temporary easing program". However, the way they approach is simply pumping more cash to the stock market (mortgage, private securities). +In a nutshell: They give money to banks, banks lend money to business (old school). Result: Won't work, but it calms...

LagunitaLLC

In the next 24 hours, people are expected to see a "touch" and "re-bounce" as the SP500 movements hit the 2018 resistance line. This is a good opportunity for day trading. Furthermore, this week, the fed is going to pump money in the market (private, mortgage-backed securities). +Thursday: 50 billions +Friday: 500 billions (03/20/2020) +Monday: 500 billions...

LagunitaLLC

Cutting interest won't help the COV-19 and businesses. Banks will suffer and applying for loans will be harder than ever for the mass. Just save you money. Don't buy more stock. Not the good time to buy, because at this rate people will see 17k DJI.

LagunitaLLC Updated 

After stepping in 3 times this week, there will be a higher chance that the US Government will step in again in the Market. During this weekend, they will have more time to think and come up with solutions for the economy. There are possibilities that they are testing how the market reacts in certain moves. 3 things that they did: + Cuts interest rates + Pumping...

LagunitaLLC

I don't know what are they thinking about zero % interest rate. It won't help. Speechless

LagunitaLLC

Briefly: Chegg is a study tool for students. They provide answers, samples test questions for students in many different subjects, as well as helping them to get good scores. Recently, Universities and Schools are moving to online platforms to teach students. Without a traditional lecture - in class, new changes will create opportunities for online lectures and...

LagunitaLLC

There wasn't any good news today either. However, the stock went up really fast more than expected after Trump declared the national emergency. This could be one of the 2 reasons: + Short-seller realized and secured their gains from last week, this included options. This is a reasonable action because of some huge changes from the Government might happen next...

LagunitaLLC

Let put it this way, tomorrow is when options expire, when people want to cut their margin loses. So there will be a high chance that the sell-out might happen again. This morning, the Fed still couldn't come up with a realistic solution rather than "old school" style one (pumping money inside the market). This only a temporary relieve, however, some people saw it...

LagunitaLLC

Simply: Bullish Trend. If the stock movement breaks the blue line (resistance), the stock will goes up super fast, expecting +15%.

LagunitaLLC

Update: The market is still flooding with bad news about COV-19. More cancelled events, more schools/ universities are moving to online platform. If things aren't getting better, people still expect to see "Red market". Good news: The government is working with Wall Street to come up with the best solution. Everything is pending. Potentially reverse the...