Waiting for the price to deliver underneath the AR low and MAC low right around UK open- if this is the case, I will be positioning long from there.
We do have some impactful USD data coming up - being that Japan and USA are such big trade allies, oftentimes the yen piggybacks on USD strength. I would like to see the price delivered above the midnight algo candle high into the bearish 4H OB- to produce a clean short opportunity for us. Let us see where the price is at and what it is doing at UK open.
Looking at this pair now, we recently had a purge move that flipped back to target the last three days' liquidity and successfully struck. As anticipated, we have the price returning to rebalance the lower BISI - Notice that the three-day high strike engineered equal highs? Looking into the data for next week, we have some high-impact drivers for AUD and NZD early...
I see gold taking a fly tonight. Lots of things lead me to believe this will play out, and we may see prices as high as 1800 but let us not get ahead of ourselves just yet; one step at a time,
After that liquid raid to the top side and rejection, I think we will see a bearish order flow seeking rebalance below. We have a weekly RTO structure on the weekly chart resting below 0.81000 flat. I would like to see the week open with EG taking PDH early on and showing a willingness to sell off. This is backed by my fundamental vision of current economic...
Watching for price to strike the PDL and equal low confluence liquidity into the daily rejection block zone marked in orange. This is the next step on the PDA matrix so lets see if it holds true or if I am incorrect. Follows my narrative of the Fed possibly taking a surprise pivot and slowing interest rate hikes.
We may see GJ sell off as the price violated a key structural point marked by the hammer. Upon retracement, we see GJ rampages above the engineered equal highs marked by the blue check mark and smacks a small FVG - hiding a 4H OB -. We do have a minor bit of gap risk above us but the violation of that key low that started the rally that made the recent highest...
I think we will see AN shift into a bearish trend now and my reasoning is this - Interest rate differential. What happened was the price broke to new highs and came back to retest a key zone in which it started to rally again, as if it were to head higher. The problem is that AUD interest rate came back short on its hawkish decision and that leaves us with NZD...
Lets go! GU seeking PDL marked with the bullseye and a sus looking RTO breaker structure that would bring some balance back where she went wild. I apologize for sharing this entry late as i was scrambling to get myself situated, keep an eye out for a logical entry opportunity and trade safe.
Watch price here to see if it will attempt to rally after rebalancing the FVG or if it will want to tag mean threshold of the daily OB+ marked in pink/red. I could really pick it apart and spend hours breaking down what I think it will do but sometimes less is more, LFG! Trade safe and smart. See you all on the other side.
Watch out fam, we goin for it now, shes lookin mighty mad and ready to eat some moon cheese!!!
I see with the interest rate differential and the fact that Japan ruined its bond market, they are stuck and probably won't raise interest if at all. Carry trades by the big dogs are going to keep this pair sailing.
I would love to see BTC offer price into the MT of that 4h OB- above us. I am a fan of taking money off the table when presented so never fear scaling profit out positions and paying yourself. I see phantom trend liquidity building up and in my humble opinion, I still see 10-11500 as a zone for the real rally pivot. Stay on guard, crypto is unpredictable, and make...
Something I have been experimenting with is adjusting my fib to the level at which the retracement dies off to use as target profit levels. As I do this on NAS weekly you will see that the -1.5 SD measurement lines up perfectly with that suspect PDA that is in question for mitigation.... a coincidence?
As I look over the higher time frame for Nasdaq I start to see the potential for further downward movement. Knowing that the market does 1 of 2 things (rebalance or seek liquidity) it makes sense that the price would reach for a full symmetrical price swing (noted by the eye mark). This mark is in confluence with an institutional position that would have been held...
Watch for the entry trigger at the UK session open. Scale levels are set on the safe side so you may be able to squeeze more out of it by monitoring the position. I don't see a 50bps rate hike on USD affecting its power very much at this point. I feel as if the market has already priced that BPS hike in and a lot of traders are going to get smoked if they try to...
Watch for entry trigger around the London session open. We should see a decent rally as the market seeks liquidity above and areas needing rebalance.
Here we took PDH and now a retracement for a push higher? Will DXY sell off into the BISI and fill the imbalance below? Will it tag into it at all before proceeding higher? Let us find out what happens together ;)