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RobertSoos
About me My main focus is market fundamentals and swing trading. I do TW for myself, so I can journal my setups and improve my trading strategy. Actively trading since 2010.
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Markets Allocation
60 % forex 5 % indices 2 % stocks 32 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
DXY 9% | 12 USDCHF 5% | 7 EURUSD 5% | 7 USDZAR 4% | 6
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Swing levels for bullish pullback, bear market correction
US100
, 1DLong
US100: Swing levels for bullish pullback, bear market correction

Reminder of key levels, daytrade outcomes: - Small pullback to 38.2 - Pullback with trendline break to 61.8 Risk-off scenario - Market goes sideways, trendline breakout fails - Attempt to go below MONTHLY 50 MA support

H4 flag break out - GBPUSD
GBPUSD
, 240Long
GBPUSD: H4 flag break out - GBPUSD

Wait for trendline to break, otherwise no trade TP1: Fib 38.2% TP2: Fib 50%

Wait to short EURUSD for a swing trade
EURUSD
, 1DShort
EURUSD: Wait to short EURUSD for a swing trade

No trade in EURUSD until: - 61.8 Fib level tested and confirmed or - 100 DMA reached and rejected

USDCAD - H4 mean reversion
USDCAD
, 240Long
USDCAD: USDCAD - H4 mean reversion
Updated 

T1: 200 MA H4

Flag BO - D1 & H1 combo
US100
, 60Long
US100: Flag BO - D1 & H1 combo

20 DMA support - SL H1 range break is entry RR: 1:4 (more with trailing)

UK OIL - H4 SHORT
BCOUSD
, 240Short
BCOUSD: UK OIL - H4 SHORT

R: H4 20MA T: 200 DMA = 5% SL: 1.3%

USDHUF - trendline break
USDHUF
, 1DLong
USDHUF: USDHUF - trendline break

Supporting long: Daily trendline break, with candlestick support + retest Sensitive stock market sentiment TP: 4% SP: 0.9%

NZDUSD - further up from H4 support
NZDUSD
, 240Long
NZDUSD: NZDUSD - further up from H4 support

Supporting Long: - H4 EMAs are the support - trend continuation candlestick pattern - 3-5% upside potential till D1 EMAs

AUDUSD - pullback long from H4 supports
AUDUSD
, 240Long
AUDUSD: AUDUSD - pullback long from H4 supports

Picture tells all, if Chinese data or Risk sentiment falls, this setup will fail.

S&P500 - bulls in control
SPX500USD
, 60Long
SPX500USD: S&P500 - bulls in control

I have missed two nice long entries. Watching the rally on the sidelines until next big resistance D1 200 EMA.

USDZAR - revert to 200 EMA
USDZAR
, 240Short
USDZAR: USDZAR - revert to 200 EMA

Sentiment is improving with US500 breaking higher and higher ZAR is a carry ccy -> costs to short it Technical: - failed H1 long attempt - 5% to the 200 EMA on H4

S&P 500 - both ways have equal chance, staying neutra
SPX500USD
, 240
SPX500USD: S&P 500 - both ways have equal chance, staying neutra

At current situation SPX500 has very poor Risk-Reward Ratio, the next big move is 50-50% to the up or downside. I see no bias to any direction. In waiting mode....

USDCHF - major support tested, going long
USDCHF
, 1DLong
USDCHF: USDCHF - major support tested, going long

The picture tells it all. Key risk: Friday NFP volatility

EURNOK - mean reversion
EURNOK
, 1WShort
EURNOK: EURNOK - mean reversion

NOK got undervalued due to the OIL price decline Norges Bank interest rate: 1.5% vs ECB 0% -> carry favors NOK Inflation is also higher in Norway I went short on technical + fundamental factors coinciding.

USDZAR - at support, waiting to break out
USDZAR
, 1DLong
USDZAR: USDZAR - at support, waiting to break out

Support for ZAR weakening: - Profit-taking on stock markets approaching year-end -> USD safe-haven appeal - Strong technical support for USDZAR @ 200 DMA - Break out pattern on Daily chart

NZDUSD - bottom of channel + MA support
NZDUSD
, 1DLong
NZDUSD: NZDUSD - bottom of channel + MA support

NZDUSD - bottom of channel + MA support 1:3 RR

CHFGBP correction: 1:3 RR daily short entry
CHFGBP
, 1DShort
CHFGBP: CHFGBP correction: 1:3 RR daily short entry

- cca 4% divergence from 200 DMA -> looking to see a pullback - TP is set @ 38.2 Fib level - 1:3 RR potential - ahead of US NFP data, but less influence

Crude oil - daily resistance tested, $60 price target for shorts
BCOUSD
, 1DShort
BCOUSD: Crude oil - daily resistance tested, $60 price target for shorts

Test of 200 DMA + tiny candlestick = short correction. First TP around $60 per barrel for Brent. Supportive: USD strength (more hawkish Fed, stronger NFP)

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