Ronin_trader

Ronin_trader Updated 

--- This pattern is a Grade C --- Decided to relook the strategy and redo the strategy validation by run a manual backtest from 15 March to 18 April where the regime changes from bullish to a bearish range on the D1 chart. I am aware that once the regime changes and need to revert back to the original Long strategy New Observation The pull backs still happen...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Tweaked strategy v1.1 - ⛈️ Small range lighting April 10, 2024 Utilising the same strategy, we tweaked the exit strategy to align with the regime change. We shorten our trades in this regime change and aim for sharp entries SL & Risk Reward Use indicator red dots as SL and not D1 plotted key points Confirm that Risk/Reward ratio is minimum 2 otherwise...

Ronin_trader Updated 

After a few months taking a step back, exploring, reading and losing. This is the first trade in my new fund 🐲🏔️JDSMF. We are now looking at swing trades based on opportunities derived from exploiting the gap between the market's expectation for how things will turn out (current price) and our own belief of how things will turn out. Good luck to me! The...

Ronin_trader Updated 

This strategy focuses on assets that are overall bullish either because of fundamentals or sentiment. They should be relatively simple chart behaviours with volatility dips that could be due to profit taking after hitting key levels or events. As long as the event or news does not change the bullish sentiment or fundamentals. I backtested a variant of this...

Ronin_trader Updated 

This strategy focuses on assets that are overall bullish either because of fundamentals or sentiment. They should be relatively simple chart behaviours with volatility dips that could be due to profit taking after hitting key levels or events. As long as the event or news does not change the bullish sentiment or fundamentals. I backtested a variant of this...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Strategy: ⛈️ Trapping Lighting v1 This strategy focuses on assets that are overall bullish either because of fundamentals or sentiment. They should be relatively simple chart behaviours with volatility dips that could be due to profit taking after hitting key levels or events. As long as the event or news does not change the bullish sentiment or fundamentals. I...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Strategy: ⛈️ Trapping Lighting This strategy focuses on assets that are overall bullish either because of fundamentals or sentiment. They should be relatively simple chart behaviours with volatility dips that could be due to profit taking after hitting key levels or events. As long as the event or news does not change the bullish sentiment or fundamentals. I...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Strategy: ⛈️ Trapping Lighting This strategy focuses on assets that are overall bullish either because of fundamentals or sentiment. They should be relatively simple chart behaviours with volatility dips that could be due to profit taking after hitting key levels or events. As long as the event or news does not change the bullish sentiment or fundamentals. I...

Ronin_trader Updated 

The Hypothesis Since Nov 2021 after the COVID19 spike, Lithium prices have taken a beating and have been trending downwards. My hypothesis is that the previous spike was hype mainly driven by COVID19 speculative behaviour and if we just discount that overvaluation we will be at a fair price that has not included the continual demand, the consumer shift in...

Ronin_trader Updated 

In Oct when the broad market fell, STRA held within it's compression area and did not break support. This builds to my hypothesis that this breakout is lasting 7.12% Risk position of 77.67 is 50% of the compression area - H1 SPX is showing a clear bullish trend - D1 SPX is showing strong bullish candles - D1 STRA is showing a strong bullish breakout Need to...

Ronin_trader Updated 

- SPX Broad market momentum continues to look green - SPHR M15 was in a compression zone near the 100EMA line - SPHR D1 also showed a recent bounce from the 100EMA (3 Days ago, 13 Oct) - This means that if I am wrong, my risk is only 2.92%, but if I am right I have 15% upside

Ronin_trader Updated 

Dying Demand: Since 27 Jul, we have seen buying strength bring price up towards key levels only for it to be brought down. There is a KL at 77.67 and price has been unable to sustain the breakthrough only to be brought down very quickly Compression zone: Price since 6 Sep has moved into a compression range. 4H price has been moving with the 100EMA ...

Ronin_trader Updated 

This trade was entered on the 14 Feb, I forgot to update it on here. At that point my LVS option trade was performing very well and moving somewhat independently from the broad market. However this changed on the Week of the 15 Feb when Retail and CPI results turned out stronger than expected. I'm not exiting because I believe the hypothesis still holds and what...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Aug Hypothesis: International Travel Growth (Specific to Airlines) Entered Ride trade UAL AT 53.97, risk 5.43% and TP 7.43%. I entered it after the confirmation with a bullish candle after two higher high retests and the clearing of the EMA lines in the hourly chart. I with at 5.43% risk I wanted to enter a larger position but I held back because I'm sure I can...

Ronin_trader Updated 

Aug Hypothesis: International Travel Growth (Specific to Airlines) We entered this trade once we had the broad market momentum signal that was SPX Daily price closing above the 100 EMA line The strategy I am now running is to make sure we trade in the direction of the broad market momentums and guage how expensive or cheap the price of the stock is by using the...

Ronin_trader Updated 

There is a lack of existing inventory on the market as many existing homeowners are hesitant to sell because of rising interest rates. If interest rates are cut or halted and we experience a soft landing, there will initially be a burst of growth before it stagnantes or sinks - Since March 2023 housing as a sector has a broad uptrend alignment. - Buffet is also...

Ronin_trader Updated 

CAT follows my China/Macau Recovery Theme and it's too expensive for me to run an options trade. CAT similar to LVS, was showing independent price movement from the broad market drops we have seen starting on the 15 Feb. Increasing Annual Rev Increasing Quarterly Rev 1.62% Short Interest

Ronin_trader

RCL is on of the companies I have on my Strong list. With the COVID19 easing for travel and as people shift from spending on products to services. The recent earnings call have also seen management talking of them experiencing a record wave session. Fuel prices has also gone down. I'm not so sure how they would hold up to inflation fears, so I think this is a...