So, the kingly discipline in bitcoin, aside from estimating WHEN a rally might start, is of course predicting the top of the rally. I should add that I think it is utterly improbably to predict anything at all with a high certainty in bitcoin, since bitcoin is so young and we don't have enough data. But I'll try anyway :) I looked at the previous rallies and...
As BTC/USD recently passed an important resistance line, the next key level to watch is around 680 USD. Bitcoin likes symmetry and it likes fractals. I think the real rally will begin sometime end 2016/beginning 2017 until the half supply will show its effect and some major economic troubles will unfold, pushing BTC to new all time highs in early 2017.
That is where I think we are now. We`re in a quite similar fractal of the "small" rally of 2012. As you might remember, that rally took place a few months before the halving, after a long bearmarket, a situation strangely similar to where we are now. My prediction: I think we´ll slowly rise back to 450, build a plateau at 450-500 and stay there stable for a few...