After a trading range starting in July 2018, Alexander Forbes has been in a trading range. After an upthrust and tests forming lower lows price broke below the trading range. We have now seen a backup to the trading range and now a push lower again. We can expect the lows R2,80 to be tested again. If this is broken there could be more downside.
Aspen has been showing strength but after a spring and signs of strength (SOS) price is now breaking out.
Harmony has had a large pullback but if we look at a lower timeframe we have a possible spring forming. Volume has increased as price reached the previous breakout level. There are better gold stocks to consider but it looks like even Harmony could take the next step up.
Following the trend in all gold stocks, Gold Fields has had a week pullback attempt and is now ready for the markup to continue of the oversold line.
Using the Wyckoff reverse use of trendlines it is possible that we have reached the oversold line. We are now looking for some (not necessary to be a lot) volume to trigger the next step up.
The markup following the accumulation range is in the process of playing out (see posts below following the progress). We have had a week attempt at a pullback which is reaching the oversold line and the previous breakout level. Time to watch for the next step higher.
Tongaat has been having their troubles but someone is buying aggressively below R5. We have seen a volume spike on the selling climax and now again on a spring from the lows. After a very week backup attempt to the downward sloping trading range, we could see some rally back to the upper boundary of the downward sloping stride. Buying weak stocks in a weak market...
We have been watching the bounce from the climax low in Sasol. After the breakout of the trading range formed following the climax (SC) low, we have had a break and back up (BU) to the trading range. This formed a spring on the BU and now we have broken the high and backed up (BU) to this range. There are some buying volume spikes on the springs and I am expecting...
Harmony Gold has been the weakest of the gold stocks (see post below). Even after good rallies in the other gold stocks, Harmony has still not broken out of the trading range. Even thou it does not seem to be the first choice there is high volume indicating buying and price is getting ready to break out of the range.
Large investors have been buying Gold Stocks since 2016. We can see the progression of this accumulation in the Gold Fields charts (see posts below). With the recent fire sale which even affected gold stocks, they were buying even more. Gold was being sold to raise cash but if we look at the volume others were buying. Now volume has decreased but we see ease of...
With the increase in the gold price and especially the Rand price of gold there is interest in the sector. DRD Gold was not one of the favourite gold stocks for investors but there is a shortage on the market so investors are turning to what's left. With the markup starting, most of the gold stocks are showing ease of movement on low volumes but we are still...
Gold stocks are looking to have a good markup and Anglogold seems to be one of the best in a strong sector. After a spring, last point of support (LPS) and backup to the trading range (BU) which all gave opportunities to enter (see posts below) we are now ready for the markup. The volume is low with ease of movement in the price. This indicates that the stock has...
We have been following the stepping stone markdown of Tiger Brands (see posts below). After a selling climax (SC) and automatic rally (AR) back to the previous redistribution range, we can now again expect a trading range. Price is set to build a new cause bound by the SC and AR extremes. Will watch this range to determine if it is further redistribution or accumulation.
After a distribution trading range that started in 2016, we have seen a markdown of PicknPay. This has resulted in a high volume selling climax (SC) and automatic rally (AR) back to the trading range. Price can be expected to range at these levels before breaking lower to continue the markdown. We will watch the development of the new trading range.
After a high volume selling climax (SC), we have seen an automatic rally (AR) back to the previous trading range in the downtrend. Now we can expect the price to range at these levels until a new cause has been built. The spring occurred short of the oversold line indicating some strength. We will watch how the trading range develops to see if this is possibly an...
After a high volume selling climax (SC) we have seen the accumulation of Sasol stock. After a spring and signs of strength (SOS) with volume, price has broken the trading range. Now we have seen a pullback to the trading range. After a smaller trading range at these levels, the markup to around the R200 level is on the cards.
Just like the other gold stocks Gold Fields is sowing a lot of strength and is looking to break out of the trading range after a key reversal bar today.
A key reversal bar today has signalled the formation of a last point of support. Looking for the markup out of the trading range. Gold is the place to be.