The CME interest rate swap market predicts that the FOMC will likely cut rates by 25 basis points in November. This means that after a 50 basis point cut, the Federal Reserve will loosen its monetary policy. This is not favorable for risk assets, including BTC. In the past two weeks, BTC ETFs have seen significant net inflows, indicating that after the shift in...
The CME interest rate swap market predicts that the FOMC will likely cut rates by 25 basis points in November. This means that after a 50 basis point cut, the Federal Reserve will loosen its monetary policy. This is not favorable for risk assets, including BTC. In the past two weeks, BTC ETFs have seen significant net inflows, indicating that after the shift in...
Last week, the U.S. CPI data for September was released. Although the CPI figure was higher than expected, it was still lower than the previous value. We believe that once the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle, as long as the CPI data does not significantly deviate from expectations, the market will not price in a recession or an inflation rebound. It...
Last week, the U.S. CPI data for September was released. Although the CPI figure was higher than expected, it was still lower than the previous value. We believe that once the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle, as long as the CPI data does not deviate significantly from expectations, the market will not price in a recession or an inflation rebound. It...
After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, the Asia-Pacific markets, especially the Chinese stock market, experienced a strong rebound. On one hand, following U.S. restrictions on China in the import and export sectors, the Chinese stock market has underperformed relative to the Nikkei and the Mumbai Index. On the other hand, the Chinese government recently...
After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, the Asia-Pacific markets, especially the Chinese stock market, experienced a strong rebound. On one hand, due to U.S. restrictions on China in the import and export sector, the Chinese stock market has underperformed relative to the Nikkei and the Mumbai Index. On the other hand, the Chinese government recently...
Last week, the Federal Reserve kicked off the rate-cutting era with a hawkish 50 basis point cut. Although the CME had previously predicted a high probability of a 50bp rate cut, the fact that only one committee member voted for a 25bp cut while all others opted for 50bp was beyond market expectations. Following the announcement, almost all financial assets,...
Last week, the Federal Reserve kicked off the rate-cutting era with a hawkish 50 basis point cut. Although the CME had previously predicted a high probability of a 50bp rate cut, the fact that only one committee member voted for a 25bp cut while all others opted for 50bp was beyond market expectations. Following the announcement, almost all financial assets,...
Last Friday, employment data was released, showing that the unemployment rate dropped from 4.3% to 4.2%. Although non-farm payrolls (NFP) increased, they still fell short of expectations. BTC initially rose upon the release of the data but quickly reversed course and turned negative. The U.S. stock market also opened lower, signaling that as the labor market...
Last Friday, employment data was released, showing that the unemployment rate dropped from 4.3% to 4.2%. Although non-farm payrolls (NFP) increased, they still fell short of expectations. BTC initially rose upon the release of the data but quickly reversed course and turned negative. The U.S. stock market also opened lower, signaling that as the labor market...
BTC volatility decreased after BTC gave back the gains from the Jackhole meeting. Currently, the number of stablecoins in the market continues to grow, getting closer to ATH, but there are few market hot spots except memes. After the staking storm passed, we saw the meme rise again. Whether it is Pump.fun on Solana earlier or Sun.pump that appeared on Tron...
BTC volatility decreased after BTC gave back the gains from the Jackhole meeting. Currently, the number of stablecoins in the market continues to grow, getting closer to ATH, but there are few market hot spots except memes. After the staking storm passed, we saw the meme rise again. Whether it is Pump.fun on Solana earlier or Sun.pump that appeared on Tron...
Last week, the U.S. Department of Labor released CPI data for July, which was slightly better than expected. Afterwards, U.S. stocks started an upward trend that lasted for a week, and gold recently refreshed its ATH, further pricing in interest rate cuts. The performance of crypto market has been weaker than other markets, with BTC and ETH almost at the same...
Last week, the U.S. Department of Labor released CPI data for July, which was slightly better than expected. Afterwards, U.S. stocks started an upward trend that lasted for a week, and gold recently refreshed its ATH, further pricing in interest rate cuts. The performance of crypto market has been weaker than other markets, with BTC and ETH almost at the same...
Crypto market lose power after rebound. BTC had a significant decline for a period of time after the ETF was announced. But after 15 days, sufficient liquidity brought an increase that repaired the decline. It has been two weeks since the ETH ETF was listed. After excluding the impact of grayscale, we have seen that traditional funds are also flowing into the ETH...
Crypto market lose power after rebound. BTC had a significant decline for a period of time after the ETF was announced. But after 15 days, sufficient liquidity brought an increase that repaired the decline. It has been two weeks since the ETH ETF was listed. After excluding the impact of grayscale, we have seen that traditional funds are also flowing into the ETH...
After the release of employment data last Friday, the Sahm rule was triggered and the FUD of recession swept through various financial assets. The stock market and BTC both suffered a very significant correction. But is this really the case? After the employment data was released, BTC and US stocks were the first to react, with US stocks remaining volatile after...
After the release of employment data last Friday, the Sahm rule was triggered and the FUD of recession swept through various financial assets. The stock market and BTC both suffered a very significant correction. But is this really the case? After the employment data was released, BTC and US stocks were the first to react, with US stocks remaining volatile after...