Nothing changes with VIX - it is creating a bottom on the bottom long-term curve - this is really bearish for stocks and crypto and we have an exact sentimental replica of 2008. Stay safe!
At some point alts will popup like mushrooms after the rain - and it will most likely happen when BTC bottoms at 13,8 area and will head to 20-22k - then alts will go crazy and this chart shows it. Good luck !
This Asian selloff was marvellous - now we touched a local bottom before Europe's open - very likely we can see Europe consolidating/bullish after asian selling - and possibly NY will retrace that selloff. Expecting a retest of that upper local curve before moving to 15k. Cheers ! PS: just a small long, still bearish short term.
As expected - dragged down by overly euphoric stocks - but now forming an inversed HS bottom with a target inside the bullflag again - expecting only up from here.
I'm waiting for 13,8 before I buy anything - also will consider many factors before I long. $17k is our top area for now. Monitor the price action and stocks. Still short.
Not yet reached my target - actually have marked a second support in case a sell-off kicks in for whatever reason. Big BTC inflows to exchanges - aswell as some alts. Some are preparing for something big. Still short.
... the story stays the same - it held support and now should pop up as stocks will decline - new highs ahead.
Definitely stocks moved higher than I expeccted - I projected my expectations from US100 onto SPX - but definitely those two didn't correlate on this bounce - either way, what's coming next is known - and down we go from here. Watch the show.
VIX is holding that area pretty nicely - stocks topped out - what else is there to say. Watch the show from now on.
I'm a fan of curve channels just because they are clearer and they represent a more fluent trajectory of the price which makes more sense, than linear lines (Sentiment isn't linear, pa isn't linear , so channels shouldn't be aswell). And it still works - you can see on the monthly created a clear orange channel (curves are basically copy pasted from each other...
3 fractals agreeing on the movement - all of them show confluence at 13700 before going up to 22-25k. Final flush afterwards. Follow this idea and trade accordingly. Fractals source: Different Assets and BTC Timeframes.
We don't need fancy charts - here is what you need to know. And this is what I'm trading unless clear deviations get confirmed.
This chart is showing that altcoins are a bit stronger (still) than BTC, and potentiall next BTC fall won't affect that much alts. Would like to see ETH reach top of the curve first before getting bearish on atlcoins.
As you see - my area hasn't been reached yet. I see whales are fomoing in, but I prefer to catch the bottom of this fall - expecting $14k before I put longs. Not expecting sub $10k as many out there - that won't happen this year, but first 14 and then maybe 12 is in the reach - will know more in December.
BTC/SPX has been falling just like expected - But still hasn't reached my area - I expect stocks to retrace big time and crypto fall a bit stronger - this will make us reach that area. At the end of the year roles will switch. You'll see.
I dont change my mind about what is coming, but this drop has been way lower than anticipated - I expect it to be a fakeout based on how stocks have pushed up and should come back into the bull flag pattern (or descending wedge if someone prefers).
As expected - Nasdaq hit ceiling here - SPX drove a bit higher but will post a TA after NY open - so far, based on Nasdaq, we hit highest point this year - now we should consolidate into the last drop.
This is my long awaited confluence area - The price has reached weekly 200 ema (fakeout) but I expect it to hold this position and start getting bullish (bearish for stocks). This is it, we are before the final round. Unless some fundamentals pivot away the sentiment - but we should be headed for new highs on this one.