albert.callisto

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About me geek
Joined
Vénère.
Markets Allocation
47 % forex 15 % stocks 13 % commodities 24 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 8% | 9 COPPER 4% | 5 EURPLN 4% | 5 GER 4% | 5
albert.callisto albert.callisto SSMI, 240,
SSMI: SMI
21 0 2
SSMI, 240
SMI

SMI

albert.callisto albert.callisto CC1!, W, Short ,
CC1!: Cocoa - same as 2011
57 0 3
CC1!, W Short
Cocoa - same as 2011

Similar pattern was seen at the end of year 2011.

albert.callisto albert.callisto USDCAD, D, Long ,
USDCAD: USDCAD
68 0 2
USDCAD, D Long
USDCAD

Fibos matching flat SSBs given by Ichimoku in weekly view. Switching back to daily, the level 0.382 is also a flat SSB. We may expect the price to test these levels again if the current bullish trend continues at this pace.

albert.callisto albert.callisto EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD - shorting idea
229 0 7
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD - shorting idea

After a rally, EURUSD is slowly reaching an upper band defined by several flat SSBs given by Ichimoku, they act as a resistance zone. Moreover it is blocked by the upper prong of the fork where the price evolved since September. Depending upon the US elections, we may see a rejection of this area with a price returning to the middle of the last swing we observed ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto SB1!, D,
SB1!: Sugar - very clean fork
42 0 0
SB1!, D
Sugar - very clean fork

Check level 21 which may offer a long entry if it holds well: median of fork + resistance of the summer of range

albert.callisto albert.callisto COPPER, D, Short ,
COPPER: COPPER - Evolving in a triangle range
76 2 5
COPPER, D Short
COPPER - Evolving in a triangle range

Copper is evolving between two main trends. See graph for more info.

albert.callisto albert.callisto W1!, 240, Short ,
W1!: Wheat - Bouncing on top of range
50 0 1
W1!, 240 Short
Wheat - Bouncing on top of range

H4, wheat has bounced against a resistive area topped by a level given by the flat SSB before the twist on 6th May. We may now see the price heading towards lower levels given by flat Kijun and flat SSBs. If it manages to break the middle of the fork, we could even have a target at the lowest level of the range. Chinkou has plenty room in the first part of the ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto XPDUSD, D, Long ,
XPDUSD: Palladium - A long swing trade idea
68 0 6
XPDUSD, D Long
Palladium - A long swing trade idea

Palladium is in a sustained uptrend. By looking at weekly SSBs levels provided by Ichimoku, we can define key levels that may be used as intermediate targets. The rectangle in pink shows a set of flat levels traced by the daily SSBs, they form an area of dense resistance that the price recently tried to test and failed to break so far. But we may expect a second ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto EURPLN, 240, Short ,
EURPLN: EURPLN - Short it now !
74 0 6
EURPLN, 240 Short
EURPLN - Short it now !

EURPLN is in a total overbought condition, RSI rocketing to the sky. Price also reached its top with a candle and its long wick. Price should now be attracted by the Tenkan.

albert.callisto albert.callisto NVS, D, Long ,
NVS: Novartis - Long plan
56 0 3
NVS, D Long
Novartis - Long plan

The price got out of its ranging bound. The lagging span broke the Kijun and had just bounced on the range rectangle before. We may expect the price to lateralize a bit before the earnings and then, if they are positive, to see an uptrend that would make it reach the higher part of the cloud. A retracement after benefits are taken would provide a good entry point ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto GER30, 60, Short ,
GER30: DAX - Beware of the divergence and correction
198 7 5
GER30, 60 Short
DAX - Beware of the divergence and correction

The recent rally is diverging from the RSI, beware of a sudden correction as we are in a high overbought range. We are also in the highs of the last weeks, the market must have some rest.

albert.callisto albert.callisto FRA40, 60,
FRA40: Wolfe wave explained
67 1 4
FRA40, 60
Wolfe wave explained

Not an analysis, though I used recent price changes in CAC40 to illustrate the idea behind Wolfe Wave. Things are never ideal so it remains a theoretical tool but it can help to find out target levels in case of breakout scenarios from converging triangles. The presented example is a bullish scenario but you can do the same for a bearish scenario if the triangle ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto GBPUSD, 240,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD 4h  - Wait for channel brexit or brexout
54 0 2
GBPUSD, 240
GBPUSD 4h - Wait for channel brexit or brexout

I switched to zigzag indicator to remove all the noise of the 4h chart. As you can see the cable is oscillating within an intermediate channel which is itself enclosed by a bigger structure. What we may expect now, from a statistical point of view, is a breakout from this ranging state, either up or down. Targets are given by the height of the first real ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto COPPER, D, Short ,
COPPER: Copper - Broken Kijun + broken channel, sell.
43 0 0
COPPER, D Short
Copper - Broken Kijun + broken channel, sell.

Price is playing with daily cloud, we may see a small retractement towards Kijun/area under the ascending channel before another bearish sequence. Note that the lagging span did not have hard time passing through the price, no rebounce there. A more conservative trade would wait for the lagging span to break the Kijun as well.

albert.callisto albert.callisto PFE, D, Long ,
PFE: Pfizer - Deal is dead, breakout from channel
44 0 2
PFE, D Long
Pfizer - Deal is dead, breakout from channel

PFE / Allergan inversion deal got its last nail in the coffin and is past history now. From technical point of view, the price broke out from an ascending channel, we take the first oscillation height (in pink) as a rough guideline for defining the next target. This target area is matching SSB and Kijun levels seen in the past as well, especially the flat cloud ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto CMG, D, Short ,
CMG: Chipotle - Head and shoulder-like pattern, sell the breakout
63 0 2
CMG, D Short
Chipotle - Head and shoulder-like pattern, sell the breakout

The head and shoulders is a bit tilted but it could be the third part of a movement that will bring bears back in the game. Sell the breakout of this range. On Ichimoku side, after a short bullish cloud chunk, we see that a twist with a bearish cloud is coming back. The lagging span did not manage to go through the cloud and the Kijun is now a resistance together ...

albert.callisto albert.callisto OJ1!, D, Short ,
OJ1!: Orange Juice - Rally over?
38 0 1
OJ1!, D Short
Orange Juice - Rally over?

Orange juice had a nice rally but is now in the overbought area of the RSI, it looks like being stuck at 75. Last daily candle had a long wick, could be a sign that the correction could occur from now on.

albert.callisto albert.callisto EURUSD, 240, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD - Simple scenario 1:2 RR, retracement then enter.
76 0 2
EURUSD, 240 Long
EURUSD - Simple scenario 1:2 RR, retracement then enter.

Wait for retractement on Kijun (equivalent to 50% Fibo), if it holds, enter around 1.1242. TP at 1.134. SL defined by upper side of cloud (SSB) + margin for spread and volatility. RSI is very high, won't hold for long before a technical pullback.

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