captain_smollett

PRO
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Joined Spain smollettTV
Thinking on a paid Telegram account sending exact entry and exit points. Anyone is interested? Please PM if so
Markets Allocation
38 % forex 10 % stocks 8 % commodities 45 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 10% | 16 USOIL 9% | 15 SPX 8% | 14 DXY 7% | 12
UKOIL: UKOIL. Brent in a corrective trend. Mid-term development
179 0 7
UKOIL, W
UKOIL. Brent in a corrective trend. Mid-term development

Would like to share my view on UKOIL price evolution from Feb 2016 to the date and a place sort of a forecat for some months in advance. Labeled as educational as I will try to update the chart with some Elliott Wave ratios and targets which I use. Also, will try to explain why oil price depends only on 20% on the spot market and rest 80% is pure ...

SPX500: SPX500. A wave count for a big wave 3
190 0 5
SPX500, D
SPX500. A wave count for a big wave 3

My own wave count for a big wave 3 in SPX500. Used some of them for trading, missed the other ones.... However, I´m trying to long/short intraday before we see 2600 from where I will start to accumulate mid-term shorts P.S. Not a trading idea, just an analysis. If you pretend to use this for trading, please mind you do it on your own risk

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO XAGUSD, 240,
XAGUSD: XAGUSD. A bearish Gartley inside a bigger bearish Cypher
212 0 11
XAGUSD, 240
XAGUSD. A bearish Gartley inside a bigger bearish Cypher

Bearish Gartley is being forged for XAGUSD. I believe it should complete around 17.80, then price may decrease for a dip-buy targeting 19.50. So, first I will wait until the pattern completes, then short 17.80 to 17.22 and 16.87 and then I will start adding longs.

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Time for a sqeeze
261 4 10
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY. Time for a sqeeze

With a 92% of bulls on Yen, USDJPY has resisted to close below 109 even on times of severe waves down on stock indexes. I believe a 109 will act as a good base for bulls in order to plot a good bear squeeze in a term of nearest weeks. Notice also a large Bat pattern which, to date, is perfectly valid. Also, price has rejected several times from a Pitchfork Median ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO SPX500, 15,
SPX500: SPX500. Big trends start at lower timeframes
137 0 6
SPX500, 15
SPX500. Big trends start at lower timeframes

While many people get bearish on the SPX500 and packing the bags for a minimum 10% ride down, I believe bullish market has not gone yet and we still have one last push up. Normally, on an Elliott Waves analysis one should not work only on bigger timeframes but continousy check lower timeframes to determine a possible turnaround. Once we see a 5-Waves impulse on ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO SPX500, 240, Long ,
SPX500: SPX500. Possible wave structure: bulls incoming
375 0 14
SPX500, 240 Long
SPX500. Possible wave structure: bulls incoming

I believe we have finally seen an impulse up on Monday and a correction to it today. Therefore, expect a Wave 5 to pick up speed and be really strong and powerful from now moving on. Target is at 2510

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO USDJPY, W, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY. Possible Cup and Handle pattern
131 0 8
USDJPY, W Long
USDJPY. Possible Cup and Handle pattern

Possible Cup and Handle pattern. Long-term investors may want to start buying the current dip

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO NCR, W, Long ,
NCR: NCR Corp. Long for a completion of Wave 5
44 0 7
NCR, W Long
NCR Corp. Long for a completion of Wave 5

As show on chart, price may want to complete the 5-Wave development and drive to approximately 55 per share. Will long next week, targeting 55.70 per share with SL set at 29. Notice also a bounce from ML of a Fork which is being in play since many years ago.

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO WMT, W, Short ,
WMT: WMT. Short on Fibo confluence and possible pattern cascade
85 2 8
WMT, W Short
WMT. Short on Fibo confluence and possible pattern cascade

Chart shows that price is being bewered in a strong resistance zone, which is trying to break once again. A 75.90 per share has an interesting Fibo confluence which may be considered as a "do-or-die" level as it is a level which validates or invalidates two Cypher patterns. Only a bigger one is shown, which would complete at 60.60 per share, while a smaller one ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO USDRUB, D, Long ,
USDRUB: USDRUB. The party is over?
560 2 15
USDRUB, D Long
USDRUB. The party is over?

That bullish divergence on Daily timeframe could long 4 months... Following the pair to add long-term longs but no position for now

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO MCD, D, Short ,
MCD: MCD. McDonalds: Daily chart setting bearish divergences
119 0 11
MCD, D Short
MCD. McDonalds: Daily chart setting bearish divergences

MCD has been raising alongside the market but, while the whole market (as well as XLY fund) added around 30% since 2016 lows, MCD was only able to push up a half of it. On one side, the stock potentially is underperforming but technicals say it has a very strong resistance to break. Daily chart shows bearish divergence, same as Weekly timeframe, and we are very ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO AAPL, W, Long ,
AAPL: AAPL. Shark pattern and triangle breakout target new ATH
133 0 12
AAPL, W Long
AAPL. Shark pattern and triangle breakout target new ATH

My previous idea on Apple shares was based on a wave count which resulted on a huge Stop-Loss. Shorting Apple on a growing market was not a good idea... Thankfully, I achieved to hedge the losses with two Options plays on revenues publishing. Now, how many green candles left? I believe, Apple may top between 161 and 163 values. Have two strong reasons for this ...

SPY: XBI vs SPY: a tight relationship as a bull/bear indicator
123 0 8
SPY, W
XBI vs SPY: a tight relationship as a bull/bear indicator

Since VIX has been updating the lowest values ever and Gold value has been growing alongside the markets and sometimes even correlated with the US Dollar, traders were trying to find a valid bull-bear indicator that could show an approximate top of the historical rally on Equities. In my opinion, DXY is a very valid indicator but there are more instruments that ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO IBKR, W, Long ,
IBKR: IBKR. Long Interactive Brokers
113 2 8
IBKR, W Long
IBKR. Long Interactive Brokers

Haven´t checked a single line of company´s reports or any related news. I´m just trying to find a new broker and checking the charts one by one to see if the market will or not dump the shares. I found IBKR may be a good buy as it bounced of the Hagopian Line and has been flat for several weeks now, underperforming the market. Notice also the price broke former, ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: DXY. Reversal zone would confirm the Head & Shoulders pattern
365 1 23
DXY, D Short
DXY. Reversal zone would confirm the Head & Shoulders pattern

An eventual H&S Pattern may be forming at the US Dollar index. If price gets stuck in a 102-103 area, for me it would be a perfect place to open shorts, targeting 96 zone. Last CFTC report shows Retail traders have bought from the Large Specs while Commercials have increased their position. Normally, that happens when trend is exhausted and ready for a ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO EZU, M, Short ,
EZU: EZU. Eurozone: still alive but for how long?
62 2 12
EZU, M Short
EZU. Eurozone: still alive but for how long?

What will be the problem: Brexit, Greece, Turkey, DB/italian banks/swiss banks or the new refugees crysis? Maybe, all together plus something else which we are not aware of yet? Probably, this is the reason why the ECB won´t taper the QE programme?

JPN225: JPN225. Nikkei full of zigzags and patterns
104 0 12
JPN225, D
JPN225. Nikkei full of zigzags and patterns

Nikkei may have offered two following trading opportunities which are pairing with the zigzags we see on USDJPY forex pair. First of all, a bearish Cypher pattern has just completed today. I will short the market on opening, targeting 19215 and 18995. SL set at 19700. If the trade completes correctly, I will long the second pattern, a potential bearish ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD. Bearish Cypher completed. Short-term trade
121 1 10
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD. Bearish Cypher completed. Short-term trade

GBPUSD pair has completed a bearish Cypher pattern. It has completed yesterday and went a little bit longer today but I believe it is perfectly valid for shorts. This is a short-term trade so I believe we may reach targets of 1.24 or 1.2250 by next week. I have already shorted at 1.2610 and will add more once it breaches an important support level of 1.2570. Set ...

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