captain_smollett

PRO
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Last visit Joined a year ago Spain smollettTV
Tweeting some trading thoughts. Welcome aboard!
Markets Allocation
38 % forex 9 % stocks 8 % commodities 45 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 10% | 16 USOIL 10% | 15 DXY 8% | 12 SPX 7% | 11
captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO AAPL, W, Long , 3 days ago
AAPL: AAPL. Shark pattern and triangle breakout target new ATH
42 0 5
AAPL, W Long
AAPL. Shark pattern and triangle breakout target new ATH

My previous idea on Apple shares was based on a wave count which resulted on a huge Stop-Loss. Shorting Apple on a growing market was not a good idea... Thankfully, I achieved to hedge the losses with two Options plays on revenues publishing. Now, how many green candles left? I believe, Apple may top between 161 and 163 values. Have two strong reasons for this ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO SPY, W, a month ago
SPY: XBI vs SPY: a tight relationship as a bull/bear indicator
68 0 7
SPY, W
XBI vs SPY: a tight relationship as a bull/bear indicator

Since VIX has been updating the lowest values ever and Gold value has been growing alongside the markets and sometimes even correlated with the US Dollar, traders were trying to find a valid bull-bear indicator that could show an approximate top of the historical rally on Equities. In my opinion, DXY is a very valid indicator but there are more instruments that ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO IBKR, W, Long , a month ago
IBKR: IBKR. Long Interactive Brokers
29 1 7
IBKR, W Long
IBKR. Long Interactive Brokers

Haven´t checked a single line of company´s reports or any related news. I´m just trying to find a new broker and checking the charts one by one to see if the market will or not dump the shares. I found IBKR may be a good buy as it bounced of the Hagopian Line and has been flat for several weeks now, underperforming the market. Notice also the price broke former, ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO DXY, D, Short , 2 months ago
DXY: DXY. Reversal zone would confirm the Head & Shoulders pattern
293 1 21
DXY, D Short
DXY. Reversal zone would confirm the Head & Shoulders pattern

An eventual H&S Pattern may be forming at the US Dollar index. If price gets stuck in a 102-103 area, for me it would be a perfect place to open shorts, targeting 96 zone. Last CFTC report shows Retail traders have bought from the Large Specs while Commercials have increased their position. Normally, that happens when trend is exhausted and ready for a ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO EZU, M, Short , 2 months ago
EZU: EZU. Eurozone: still alive but for how long?
41 1 9
EZU, M Short
EZU. Eurozone: still alive but for how long?

What will be the problem: Brexit, Greece, Turkey, DB/italian banks/swiss banks or the new refugees crysis? Maybe, all together plus something else which we are not aware of yet? Probably, this is the reason why the ECB won´t taper the QE programme?

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO JPN225, D, 2 months ago
JPN225: JPN225. Nikkei full of zigzags and patterns
102 0 11
JPN225, D
JPN225. Nikkei full of zigzags and patterns

Nikkei may have offered two following trading opportunities which are pairing with the zigzags we see on USDJPY forex pair. First of all, a bearish Cypher pattern has just completed today. I will short the market on opening, targeting 19215 and 18995. SL set at 19700. If the trade completes correctly, I will long the second pattern, a potential bearish ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO GBPUSD, D, Short , 2 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD. Bearish Cypher completed. Short-term trade
112 1 9
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD. Bearish Cypher completed. Short-term trade

GBPUSD pair has completed a bearish Cypher pattern. It has completed yesterday and went a little bit longer today but I believe it is perfectly valid for shorts. This is a short-term trade so I believe we may reach targets of 1.24 or 1.2250 by next week. I have already shorted at 1.2610 and will add more once it breaches an important support level of 1.2570. Set ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO DXY, M, 2 months ago
DXY: DXY vs S&P: they live together and decline together
171 3 8
DXY, M
DXY vs S&P: they live together and decline together

Just a small research I made. Haven´t applied any advanced methodics though, just a simple comparison. 1. DXY and S&P move together on bullish times which means there is a strong demand on US Dollar to make profit from raising american market. The profit is double: growth of the stocks index and a convertion back from the USD to your own currency which, by that ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO EURUSD, D, Short , 2 months ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. Please welcome The Parity
263 1 13
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD. Please welcome The Parity

After breaking out of a triangle, EURUSD pair is having the last correction before heading to the long and very expected level of 1:1 . Unfortunately, that is not all for EUR: as a general rule, once the triangle is broken, we should expect a movement similar to the height of a triangle towards the direction of the breakout. In this case, the official breakout ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO SPY, D, Long , 2 months ago
SPY: SPY. A never-ending Diagonal
187 0 9
SPY, D Long
SPY. A never-ending Diagonal

The choices on how the uptrend will finish are very few to be honest: a common 1-2-3-4-5 structure or the so-called Ending Diagonal Triangle. Experienced EW adepts may surely be able to correct me but I feel like the EDT it starting to become our main option. This means: 1) S&P will first climb to 2360-2370, then to 2450-2500. 2) The correction will bring the ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO UKOIL, D, Short , 2 months ago
UKOIL: UKOIL. In a range
259 0 11
UKOIL, D Short
UKOIL. In a range

Many of you noticed that Brent has mostly been trading in 45-55 range since May 2016. As a consequence, there is no valid trend for now and, in order to know where oil prices may end up in a week or in a month, we have to operate with Fibonacci extensions and Harmonic patterns. I believe the current setup is as following: First of all, we have a huge ABCD ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO IBEX35, D, Long , 2 months ago
IBEX35: IBEX35. Spanish market getting ready to pop
123 4 8
IBEX35, D Long
IBEX35. Spanish market getting ready to pop

IBEX35, the spanish stocks index, is ready to pop but first it has to correct to a huge support zone which was a resistance for approximately year and a half. A potential Cypher pattern is pending to be completed highlighting the end of this correction, I will wait for pattern confrmation before I enter a long position. If everything is correct, will place a ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO GBPUSD, W, Long , 2 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD. Bearish Bat pattern meaning end of a correction
188 1 15
GBPUSD, W Long
GBPUSD. Bearish Bat pattern meaning end of a correction

GBPUSD pair is probably forming a bearish Bat pattern with three legs already completed. I expect a beginning of a new leg up which would mean the last leg of a bullish correction before further decline for the Pound. Will open a long position at the nearest dip, setting a Stop-Loss order at 1.19 and Take-Profit order at 1.3350 P.S. Notice a curious candle on a ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO TWTR, W, Long , 2 months ago
TWTR: TWTR. Buy Twitter shares but at a right price
290 0 8
TWTR, W Long
TWTR. Buy Twitter shares but at a right price

I stopped following Twitter at some point of time but I´ve been curious on, after all the news bombardement and price movement we had in 2016, what price we may expect in 2017? I found a very interesting setup: on first place, we have an ascending fork (labeled green) where the Median Line hasn´t been reached. Therefore, as per Hagopian´s rule, the price should ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO EURUSD, 240, Short , 2 months ago
EURUSD: EURUSD. Bearish Butterfly about to complete
447 10 22
EURUSD, 240 Short
EURUSD. Bearish Butterfly about to complete

A short-term trade on EURUSD is about to be triggered: bearish Butterfly pattern should complete around 1.0742 value and give a place to a correction after a good bullish impulse. Notice also a potential bearish divergence on 4H timeframe. Will open a short position at 1.0742, SL: 1.0822 TP1: 1.0588 TP2: 1.0497

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO AUDUSD, D, Long , 3 months ago
AUDUSD: AUDUSD. Long correction in a correction
148 3 11
AUDUSD, D Long
AUDUSD. Long correction in a correction

AUDUSD reached an important support level which is, at the same time, placed at fork´s Median Line. Pair is now bouncing and I believe it will try to complete an eventual Cypher pattern which ends close to the fork Top Line. I missed a run today so will open a long position now, SL: 0.71, TP: 0.76

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO USDJPY, W, Short , 3 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY. Japanese Yen. Trades of 2017. Number 3
297 3 13
USDJPY, W Short
USDJPY. Japanese Yen. Trades of 2017. Number 3

USDJPY pair has already completed an eventual Bat pattern and now moving to an important reversal zone between 120 and 122. I will look for placing mid-term shorts at this zone, targeting 82 in the next 6 months. Will place my SL order above 2015 maximum of 125 and TP1 at 100, with TP2 at 82. Please notice if a price tags 122.795, the pattern is invalidated and ...

captain_smollett captain_smollett PRO GC1!, W, Long , 3 months ago
GC1!: GC1. Gold futures. Trades of 2017. Number 2
339 15 14
GC1!, W Long
GC1. Gold futures. Trades of 2017. Number 2

Gold is currently completing an eventual Cypher pattern. Although, the price has already gone quite low, it can break 1100 levels as the Dollar Index hasn´t yet completed the last move to the upside. Nevertheless, due to a great Risk/Reward levels, small longs on Gold can be added as the target price is really high: I believe we can reach a 141.40% extension of ...

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