BobVanders

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About me Too big to fail
Joined
Markets Allocation
27 % indices 13 % forex 7 % stocks 53 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 23% | 8 US 17% | 6 FTSE 11% | 4 XAGUSD 8% | 3
BobVanders BobVanders US30, D, Short ,
US30: Dow 20k fail (Again) - Bearish Divergence
340 6 18
US30, D Short
Dow 20k fail (Again) - Bearish Divergence

There are signs a top may be forming here. We've had a very extended bull run, and now we're beginning to see very clear divergence between price and RSI on the daily. Divergence alone is not a setup. Divergence can continue far longer than most people are prepared to hold a drawdown. It's just a reason we might look for more defined setups to trade. The key ...

BobVanders BobVanders XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: Silver daily - Bullish divergence and price action at support
131 3 13
XAGUSD, D Long
Silver daily - Bullish divergence and price action at support

Accompanying the hourly chart on Silver, we see bullish divergence from the last few lows in the price, and we've also seen a good reaction at a previous area of support and resistance. You may want to look at my hourly chart for silver (linked to this idea) to refine an entry on lower timeframes, but I believe even if we remain in this mid-term bearish trend ...

BobVanders BobVanders XAGUSD, 60, Long ,
XAGUSD: Silver double bottom and channel
127 0 14
XAGUSD, 60 Long
Silver double bottom and channel

Fairly clear double bottom gone in at the 15.7 level for Silver, and the direction has changed as we see in the rising channel. You can see we've broken through at zone of support and resistance at 16.2 and that should provide a base now for us to move higher. Look for long positions from close to the bottom of the channel, to capitalise on this move. I believe, ...

BobVanders BobVanders SPX500, 60, Short ,
SPX500: SP500 Swing High - Short opportunity
236 2 14
SPX500, 60 Short
SP500 Swing High - Short opportunity

Simple short trade setup. Seeing resistance at the 2272 level, let's see if it works again. Look for an hourly bar to close below the green line - breaking the inside bar setup - and enter short. Use lower timeframes if you prefer to refine your entry. Target lower red line initially, but beyond that look for new lows. There's a good case that a reversal is due ...

BobVanders BobVanders USOIL, 240, Long ,
USOIL: WTI Crude - Quick Backtest Bounce, then Short.
290 0 12
USOIL, 240 Long
WTI Crude - Quick Backtest Bounce, then Short.

I've entered a small long here, off the support above $52. This support goes back a long way, look at it on the weekly. I'm targeting the retest of the pink up channel we just broke, or the blue horizontal channel. Longer term though, I think oil looks extended, and I don't think supply is set to fall much. So I'd be interested to look for a short position ...

BobVanders BobVanders DJI, D, Short ,
DJI: Triangle Break - Dow Jones Cash Daily
427 0 14
DJI, D Short
Triangle Break - Dow Jones Cash Daily

You can see a triangle formed on the uptrend from february, now broken. We also broke from an extended inside bar consolidation (yellow channel). If short from higher there's a good case to keep something on the table here. If not, a break of 18k should offer a pull back and retest as resistance. If that holds should be a good entry for the green levels ...

BobVanders BobVanders EURGBP, D, Short ,
EURGBP: Short EURGBP - H&S forming in Supply Zone
227 1 15
EURGBP, D Short
Short EURGBP - H&S forming in Supply Zone

Purists will tell you not to trade the H&S until the neckline breaks. I tend to prefer the outcome of looking for a nice reversal on the right shoulder, because you're already in a zone of resistance as proved by the left shoulder and head. If you do see a good reversal pattern at this level, you have a good chance of returning to the neckline as an initial target ...

BobVanders BobVanders US30, 240, Long ,
US30: Dow Jones forecast week commencing 16th May
731 2 23
US30, 240 Long
Dow Jones forecast week commencing 16th May

So on Friday 13th May, we have seen the classic head and shoulder topping pattern confirm here on a lot of major indices. You could apply this thinking also to S&P500 and its derivatives Spy etc. So the head and shoulder neckline break, all in shorts right? Wrong. Note the orderly bearish action, respecting fibs very tightly on the way down. Also note the ...

BobVanders BobVanders DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: Dxy bullish Gartley may signal continued dollar stength
89 0 8
DXY, D Long
Dxy bullish Gartley may signal continued dollar stength

Worth looking out for reversal at point D here, which would form a pretty perfect bullish GArtley.. Bullish Gartley is a continuation pattern of consolidation. If we reverse around the 91 mark, then we could be retesting the highs this year.,

BobVanders BobVanders US30, 240, Short ,
US30: Russian Dolls - 3 x Head and Shoulders on Dow Jones
270 2 11
US30, 240 Short
Russian Dolls - 3 x Head and Shoulders on Dow Jones

We have three head and shoulders patterns nestled within one another like Russian dolls. The first two patterns are now confirmed and have played out, and now a return to the neckline number 2 (yellow line) will give a good short entry for us to aim to break the third neckline (green) and continue a correction of the rise since mid February. If that third ...

BobVanders BobVanders AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: Reposting AAPL short in a clearer way
185 0 14
AAPL, D Short
Reposting AAPL short in a clearer way

People will laugh at you if you say $75 as a price target for AAPL-3.06% . But there are some good technical reasons to believe it might happen, outlined in this chart. WE have an unfilled gap at $75, and a confirmed H&S top with a technical target that takes us to the gap. Sentiment has turned and while a move to $75 would be extreme for such a profitable ...

BobVanders BobVanders AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: AAPL H&S Gap Fill Short
156 3 7
AAPL, D Short
AAPL H&S Gap Fill Short

EDIT: sorry if the on chart text is small - essentially from left to right the text boxes on the chart say, 1) observe the gap 2) We assume the spike down in Sep is anomalous 3) Downward price target of H&S is the distanceof the neckline to head 4) NEckline retest confirms the pattern People will laugh at you if you say $75 as a price target for AAPL. But there ...

BobVanders BobVanders XAGUSD, W, Long ,
XAGUSD: Silver Inverse H&S Bottom
383 1 12
XAGUSD, W Long
Silver Inverse H&S Bottom

I'm bullish silver for a number of fundamental reasons, but if this pattern confirms, it's the technical icing on the cake and gives an initial upside target of around $18.5, which coincides nicely with a pre existing zone of horizontal support and resistance. We also broke out of the long downtrend, we retested that steep line as support from the other side, and ...

BobVanders BobVanders SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: S&P 500 Top and Short Target
253 0 8
SPX500, D Short
S&P 500 Top and Short Target

So we see a longer trend of lower lows, and lower highs on most major indices worldwide, and this is clearly also starting to catch up with USA too. The latest bull move is looking extended and we are seeing signs of exhaustion and a rather messy-looking head and shoulders top is emerging. The key feature here is we have a rising support, the neckline, that ...

BobVanders BobVanders US30, D,
US30: Tracking consolidation and sentiment on Dow
274 0 15
US30, D
Tracking consolidation and sentiment on Dow

Hot money being crushed with four very similar, very aggressive, equity moves against the prevailing bias at consolidation zones. Letting the pressure and positions build up then crushing them. Follow the consolidation zones via the yellow arrow of pain. Anticipate another period of consolidation now followed by another sharp move, in whatever direction is going ...

BobVanders BobVanders DOWI, D, Short ,
DOWI: Bearish Kraken Wedge
253 4 32
DOWI, D Short
Bearish Kraken Wedge

Aside from the obvious Kraken that will bring doom to the world, we're in what appears to be the apex of an ascending wedge, so a break down out of the wedge should open up some tradeable move, we've come up relentlessly on low volume. I'm hesitant to enter long positions here even if we break up. I'd feel more comfortable thinking about long positions after a ...

BobVanders BobVanders USOIL, 240, Long ,
USOIL: Oil inverse H&S forming
401 5 14
USOIL, 240 Long
Oil inverse H&S forming

NOt confirmed by any means at this stage, just an idea that may help us trade a possible reversal in oil. The reversal may not come, but we broke the recent long downtrend line, green, and now making a few bearish moves. Possibly we come to retest that downtrend line as support, around the 30 mark. A bounce at that point would start to form the right shoulder of ...

BobVanders BobVanders EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: Short bias EURUSD [Until 10th March] / Long Equities
161 0 7
EURUSD, 240 Short
Short bias EURUSD [Until 10th March] / Long Equities

Just some idle price movement predictions and a look at the inverse correlation between EURUSD and Dow Jones Index. I think March 10th with Draghi and ECB will probably cause some surprises and sharp movements, so just for fun I predict a hope-fuelled rise in equities (and decline in EurUSD) up until 10th March, and assume Draghi shatters all illusions. Stocks ...

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