cfetrader

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Markets Allocation
12 % stocks 6 % indices 4 % forex 78 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 27% | 27 SPX 12% | 12 USOIL 10% | 10 XAGUSD 7% | 7
cfetrader cfetrader NGAS, D,
NGAS: Natural gas price analysis
120 0 4
NGAS, D
Natural gas price analysis

The bounce off the lower line of the broadening wedge found resistance along the upper line of a descending channel. A correction & subsequent rebound is anticipated within the peak bat dimensions in the near term. For the long term prospects, a potential inverse head & shoulders pattern may act favorably with regard to a rising scenario.

cfetrader cfetrader SPX500, M, Long ,
SPX500: SPX rise potential
261 3 5
SPX500, M Long
SPX rise potential

Although the moving averages MA(10) & ALMA(50) are close to a sell signal, this month's rise has resulted into a positive divergence and line(2) break in the RSI diagram. The long term ascending channel is intact and a Wolfe wave may point towards a target of 2400 in due course.

cfetrader cfetrader USDCAD, 240, Long ,
USDCAD: Potential USDCAD reaction
88 0 3
USDCAD, 240 Long
Potential USDCAD reaction

The corrective wave sequence appears complete and in addition to the fact that prices are testing the lower boundary channel line, there is a good chance of a reaction towards first Tg1 the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement (coinciding with the upper channel line) and also Tg2 the 38.2% retracement at a later date. If Tg1 proves strong as a resistance, then there is a ...

cfetrader cfetrader XAUUSD, 240, Short ,
XAUUSD: Gold in a corrective phase
192 2 6
XAUUSD, 240 Short
Gold in a corrective phase

After the end of the 3rd rising wave at 1263.37, gold is following an A-B-C corrective course. The apparent completion of the B-wave heralded by a head & shoulders formation & coupled by a Gartley pattern may lead towards the first target around 1210-1213. Although at first glance the C-wave may seem a simple W-X-Y, a much more complex Y in extended form could ...

cfetrader cfetrader HKG33, M, Long ,
HKG33: Turning point probability for HSI
115 0 3
HKG33, M Long
Turning point probability for HSI

A long term (monthly chart) bullish pennant seems to be forming in the Hong Kong Hang Seng index.

cfetrader cfetrader DXY, W,
DXY: DXY at critical levels
37 0 4
DXY, W
DXY at critical levels

There is technical uncertainty regarding the trend, which will be resolved next week. Potential support at current levels comes from the cloud and the lower Bollinger band curve.

cfetrader cfetrader NAS100, D, Long ,
NAS100: Nasdaq poised to retest the highs
142 0 2
NAS100, D Long
Nasdaq poised to retest the highs

A Cypher pattern is driving values towards 4550. After a reasonable pullback the levels around 4730 may be reached once more in all probability (the pitchfork and Elliott wave structure are technically assisting in this attempt)

cfetrader cfetrader XAGUSD, W,
XAGUSD: Silver trend scenarios
112 0 3
XAGUSD, W
Silver trend scenarios

In the weekly chart of silver we can distinguish two main channels that can lead to a bullish or bearish future trend option. The upper boundary line of the declining channel(1) holds the key to the dilemma solution.

cfetrader cfetrader XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Gold bullish scenario
199 2 8
XAUUSD, D
Gold bullish scenario

The recent highly positive sentiment with regard to gold places some uncertainty on the ending point of the B-wave correction (part of 4). Provided a B-wave completion takes place at present levels, the minimum 4.C target is 1184 (38.2% wave 3 retracement).

cfetrader cfetrader XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Gold patterns
83 0 6
XAUUSD, D
Gold patterns

In the daily XAUUSD chart there are two major patterns battling for dominance, a pennant (bullish) and a flag (bearish). If the latter prevails, then a bat pattern may lead prices as low as 1150.

cfetrader cfetrader XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: Gold trend options
114 0 6
XAUUSD, W
Gold trend options

There are two principle scenarios for XAUUSD, with regard to the near term future, and both can be justified by EW. The overall economic environment (stocks, oil & dollar) will dictate the direction.

cfetrader cfetrader DXY, D, Long ,
DXY: DXY wave analysis
32 0 2
DXY, D Long
DXY wave analysis

There are quite a few rule violations in the DXY wave development. However, in spite of these differentiations from the "norm", it can be claimed that since August 2015 a B-type correction is developing in 5 consecutive sub-waves (alternative coding also included in the chart). This could mean DXY values above 100 in the near term, provided of course the ...

cfetrader cfetrader SPX500, W, Long ,
SPX500: SPX on the verge of a 5th wave ?
167 0 5
SPX500, W Long
SPX on the verge of a 5th wave ?

The perfect time balance between waves 2 and 4 may indicate the initial stages of a 5th wave SPX500 development. Only time will tell

cfetrader cfetrader USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Crude Oil directional shift ?
80 0 1
USOIL, D Long
Crude Oil directional shift ?

Prices of USOIL are at the critical zone around 33, which represents an important resistance arising from the upper pitchfork boundary and the major former support line(1). An upward break has the capacity of leading prices towards the shark pattern target of 40.

cfetrader cfetrader XAGUSD, D,
XAGUSD: Silver EW possibilities
114 0 3
XAGUSD, D
Silver EW possibilities

The rise since December 2015 did evolve in three so far completed waves, a(3 sub-waves), b(3 sub-waves) and c(5 sub-waves). The current correction may be viewed either as a d(w-x-y) with x ending here or slightly higher, or a major decline of the w-x-y-x-z type leading towards the previous lows of 13.7. (The monthly chart tends to support the e-wave development).

cfetrader cfetrader DXY, W,
DXY: Dollar Index trend options
42 0 1
DXY, W
Dollar Index trend options

Two major patterns seem to emerge in the DXY weekly chart, an inverse head & shoulders and an ascending triangle. As long as the dollar index values trade above line(1), the rise scenario remains open. A break down would confirm the corrective C-wave. So far the cloud has offered support twice. (PS: daily indication on chart should be weekly).

cfetrader cfetrader SPX500/XAUUSD, W,
SPX500/XAUUSD: SPX/GOLD ratio analysis
112 0 3
SPX500/XAUUSD, W
SPX/GOLD ratio analysis

This particular ratio presents significant interest, since the corrective wave could assume either a (w-x-y) or (w-x-y-x-z) form. A bullish quasi-butterfly pattern favors the second option with a target of 1.4 to 1.3.

cfetrader cfetrader XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold at critical juncture
200 1 6
XAUUSD, W Long
Gold at critical juncture

The channel & 1200 XAUUSD level breach favors a rise towards the Wolfe-wave target of ~1440. This implies that the last correction wave ended as a W-X-Y at ~1046 and the extension X-Z leading to <=1000 appears less likely as time progresses.

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