dryanhawley

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Markets Allocation
25 % indices 75 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
FX:SPX 50% | 8 TVC:SPX 25% | 4 SP:SPX 25% | 4
dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, 240, Short ,
SPX: This is the wave 1 down and the corrective wave 2 up
266 0 3
SPX, 240 Short
This is the wave 1 down and the corrective wave 2 up

I explained this in my last post. This is in a 4 hour timeframe. If we get more selling on a massive scale we have a long way to go in the daily charts.

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, 1M, Short ,
SPX: This is a chart I have worked on since 2015 or earlier.
221 1 2
SPX, 1M Short
This is a chart I have worked on since 2015 or earlier.

2015 was a wave 4, complex and corrective. My "possible wave 5" came to fruition. WE have down a wave 1, complex and corrective (to the bullish trend) down. Since the recent top, we have done a wave 1 down with sell volume of a massive scale, and an ABC (simple and corrective) I think we could e coming up on a 3rd wave down. We should start wave 3 by ...

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: SPOOS, SPY, ES SELL based on  primarily waves
94 0 1
SPX, 60 Short
SPOOS, SPY, ES SELL based on primarily waves

For those who count waves, we had a clear ABC early in the 3 waves down, hourly chart, and I believe a 4th wave, complex and corrective that ended today, to possibly go down on a 5th wave, impulsive and complex. In the Spiders, aka SPY we had 28.2 Millions shared of sell volume in the last 30 minutes.

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, 30,
SPX: Looks lije they are trying to rally this Bish
85 0 0
SPX, 30
Looks lije they are trying to rally this Bish

After a 12% loss this year ( do the math it is not a 4% correction this year) we are in the very begging of an effort to take it up. We ended yesterday in a Bullish Harami candletick pattern, and overnight Asia created an EW diamond pattern, to go down, but it really makes Americans mad when Asia takes our ES (SP-500 Futures) down, so in a predictable pattern we ...

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: Went short an the new all time highs
59 1 4
SPX, 15 Short
Went short an the new all time highs

Went short an the new all time highs

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, D,
SPX500: More on corrective wave 4 in daily candles
85 0 2
SPX500, D
More on corrective wave 4 in daily candles

If we get a 4th wave here it will be smallish. If you look where I put Wave 1 UP in March, that is a small wave 2. I drew an arrow with a pointed in blue to show what i mean by a small wave 4. The ABC at the top was for the entire set of 5 waves up in the daily candles. I don't think it will be that big, more than likely it will go down to either my red line or ...

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, D,
SPX500: Wave 3 complete, corrective wave 4 starting in the daily candles
94 0 3
SPX500, D
Wave 3 complete, corrective wave 4 starting in the daily candles

The SPX is Bullish, now doubt. But we may be beginning the 4th wave, which is typically complex and corrective. After that wave 5 up to new all time highs more than likely. The wave text got moved to the left when this was published, the wave C ended at 1989.8.

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, D,
SPX500: Follow up to making profitable trades
43 0 2
SPX500, D
Follow up to making profitable trades

Of course the market may correct, and will at any given time. It can't go up every day! I am just suggesting that Manage Risk to profit. This Heikin Ashi chart shows the longer term (daily) trend, for now. Notice i am posting this with a neutral bias.

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, 120,
SPX500: Advice on profiting
63 0 2
SPX500, 120
Advice on profiting

Use the longer periods to figure out the real trend. I challenge anyone to show how it is not UP. When the markets go down it will be 500 points a day in the DOW and 50 in the SPX. Trading only the "counter trend corrective waves" DOWN is very hard to profit from. If you use proper Money Management you can reduce risk, and lose only 2% of your portfolio on the ...

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, W, Long ,
SPX500: Follow Up: The Bullish View 5th Ewave UP
195 2 1
SPX500, W Long
Follow Up: The Bullish View 5th Ewave UP

Yes this is not a popular view right now, in the Idea Stream (although popular in the room I trade in). My previous chart showed how early in Obama's reign we got a strong, complex wave 2, and this last year we got a wave 4 that is a simple ABC. Everyone here, in Idea Stream thinks we will go down next, and that is Bullish. We may go down because of recent ...

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, 240, Long ,
SPX500: I look at 10 Bearish ideas published here
102 0 1
SPX500, 240 Long
I look at 10 Bearish ideas published here

All were Bearish except one, and that one called for a 60 point down move first. Take a look at the DAILY candles, yes there are some hairy tops but they are solid green. The fact that everyone is bearish is a contraindicator for me... Possibly the up move continues... We are above all the EMA's, above the Ichimoku cloud, yes the stochastics are near the top, ...

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, M, Long ,
SPX: The Bullish View of things, possibly beginning wave 5 UP
35 0 1
SPX, M Long
The Bullish View of things, possibly beginning wave 5 UP

If we break SPX500 2137 with strength and continuation we will be in a wave 5 UP. Traders are supposed to be Neutral and be able to see both sides of the market.

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: We have not had an average sized correction since 2011
45 1 1
SPX, W Short
We have not had an average sized correction since 2011

We got almost a 23% correction early in 2016. 38% to 50% are average Fib retracements. For a Full Bear market we could see SPX 673.

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: Just the beginning of wave 5
44 0 2
SPX, W Short
Just the beginning of wave 5

We are just beginning wave 5 down impulsive and complex to go below waves 1 & 3 This is a weekly chart pointing to the trend.

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, 240, Short ,
SPX500: The Selling is just beginning
93 0 3
SPX500, 240 Short
The Selling is just beginning

I modified my Stochastics to match Fibonacci numbers

dryanhawley dryanhawley SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: A long term top, extremely overbought
111 0 5
SPX500, W Short
A long term top, extremely overbought

A 38% correction will take us to the 2000 and 2007 tops expect more than that, look at 2003 and 2009

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SPX500
S&P 500 index of US listed shares
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