fxtechtrader

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About me Just a few good global macro trades are enough for me.
Joined UK / Germany fxtechtrader
Markets Allocation
33 % forex 16 % stocks 1 % indices 49 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GER 18% | 30 AUDUSD 7% | 12 BUND 6% | 11 USOIL 5% | 8
fxtechtrader fxtechtrader CAT, M,
CAT: CAT Monthly
9 0 0
CAT, M
CAT Monthly

Actually I am neutral here, as we have a conflicting message. Notice the September and October candles. We are either at the top of a distribution zone or we might see an effort to rise to new highs. Weak bullish volume doesn`t confirm a breakout to higher highs.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader GBPJPY, M, Long ,
GBPJPY: GBPJPY Monthly Chart
36 0 3
GBPJPY, M Long
GBPJPY Monthly Chart

If this momentum continues we might see 183.961, then 185.000 - or even 192.470.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader GER30, M,
GER30: GER30 - Monthly Candle View
40 0 0
GER30, M
GER30 - Monthly Candle View

October coming to an end and we can access the monthly close view. I am neutral in the DAX, it shows considerable weakness despite the most recent run-up higher.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader ITA40, D,
ITA40: FTSE MIB still above 20ema.
28 3 2
ITA40, D
FTSE MIB still above 20ema.

Consolidation inside this Sept 04 bullish candle range, yet still above 20,800 and 20 EMA. Waiting.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader BUND, D, Short ,
BUND: BUND - Macro shift ?
24 0 2
BUND, D Short
BUND - Macro shift ?

More important at the moment than DAX - possibly the change in outlook due to the ABS program planned by the ECB, and some big players getting out at the top...

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader AUDCHF, W, Long ,
AUDCHF: AUDCHF Weekly
17 0 0
AUDCHF, W Long
AUDCHF Weekly

Big picture - weekly chart shows further potential up to 0.9000 and even higher.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader AUDCHF, 480, Short ,
AUDCHF: AUDCHF Short-term overbought
17 0 0
AUDCHF, 480 Short
AUDCHF Short-term overbought

I expect some correction here, but the weekly and daily trend is quite bullish. Monitor in conjunction with USDCHF and GBPCHF.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader EUSTX50, 240, Short ,
EUSTX50: EUSTX50 4h - Short before ECB
12 0 0
EUSTX50, 240 Short
EUSTX50 4h - Short before ECB

Could be more defensive and risk-adverse before the ECB press conference, a retrace is possible to the base of this recent bullish 4h candle. Price has to stay above 3140 zone for constructive bullish continuation.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader FRA40, 240, Short ,
FRA40: CAC40 at critical level
16 0 0
FRA40, 240 Short
CAC40 at critical level

It will be difficult for price to rise further if there is any stalling or correction in the US Indices, plus EUSTXX50 /DAX.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader UK100, 480, Long ,
UK100: UK100 Upside recovery
32 0 1
UK100, 480 Long
UK100 Upside recovery

Some levels to watch, and I am comparing DAX / CAC40 / EUSTX50 with the Footsie, = = = ALL of Europe bearish or just " the Continent " ?! ....:-)

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader EUSTX50, 480, Long ,
EUSTX50: EUSTX50 - similar to DAX
50 2 0
EUSTX50, 480 Long
EUSTX50 - similar to DAX

A bit stronger than DAX, could see 3080 and 3144. Both indices will show in their advance how serious the breaakdown was, or if this was only a carefully crafted shakeout by big players....

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader USDJPY, 480,
USDJPY: USDJPY 102.067 key level.
34 0 0
USDJPY, 480
USDJPY 102.067 key level.

If you look closely at the whole structure in USDJPY 8 hours, it looks as if it is STILL only a retrace of a bullish W base formation. I believe the key level 102.067 will be broken to the upside. Any decline will be much more gradual - as big players need more time to unwind any positions. No trade yet, watching Nikkei225 closely as well.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader GER30, 240, Long ,
GER30: DAX - further repair trades, but political risk prevails.
34 0 0
GER30, 240 Long
DAX - further repair trades, but political risk prevails.

We could see further price advance to at least 9200, but only if US Indices cooperate - and it will be very much endangered by political news ( IRAQ etc. ). Looking how major stocks/components behave as clue for recovery strength...

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader GER30, 240, Long ,
GER30: DAX long, careful later ECB !
24 0 1
GER30, 240 Long
DAX long, careful later ECB !

Could reach 9200 today, careful with ECB press conference and some wild stop hunting.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader GER30, 240, Long ,
GER30: DAX mini-recovery ?
90 0 0
GER30, 240 Long
DAX mini-recovery ?

At least consolidating at the low end, we could see some advance tomorrow. I expect a move back to at least 9400. Only if no new political surprises or ECB statements cause further selling pressure.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader GER30, 240, Long ,
GER30: DAX repair " long " ?!
88 1 1
GER30, 240 Long
DAX repair " long " ?!

I expect a recovery mode upswing here, conservative traders wait for more base building signs.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader EUSTX50, 480, Short ,
EUSTX50: EUSTX50 Fragile
7 0 0
EUSTX50, 480 Short
EUSTX50 Fragile

If this supply area between 3213 - 3229 is not broken to the upside I still see further downswings - or retests of previous demand areas, - major levels 3200 and 3144.

fxtechtrader fxtechtrader BUND, D, Short ,
BUND: BUND below 147.90
16 0 0
BUND, D Short
BUND below 147.90

If price has exaggerated with the recent bull move, I will be looking for 147.49 and 147.00 as targets.

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