KrunchieKilleen

Message Follow Following Unfollow
About me Krunchie commits €100 per month to a punt on stocks and shares and gives an account of this in his blog: www.SharesPunt.Blogspot.ie
Joined Dublin, Ireland KrunchieKilleen
Markets Allocation
45 % forex 18 % stocks 8 % indices 29 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 39% | 120 SPX 14% | 43 NAS 13% | 42 DIA 7% | 23
KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen CRH, W,
CRH: CRH TO KEEP FALLING
7 0 2
CRH, W
CRH TO KEEP FALLING

With a P/E that is still over 21, even though it may rally from its present low, it looks inevitable that CRH, like American shares in general, will continue to fall for a considerable time. A substantial rise in earnings is necessary to maintain current price levels. European shares trade at a P/E of around 14 and American shares must correct to similar levels. I ...

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, D, Short ,
SPY: ANTICIPATED S&P DOWNSWING BEGINS
81 0 4
SPY, D Short
ANTICIPATED S&P DOWNSWING BEGINS

Bouncing off Resistance Line R today seems to indicate a downswing. I guess we will see a movement somewhat along the track described by the green arrow. Looking back next month, we will say that the downtrend began on the 1st of March.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, 60, Short ,
SPY: S&P DOWNSWING COMMENCING
189 1 3
SPY, 60 Short
S&P DOWNSWING COMMENCING

The upswing appears to be petering out. Monday's market should show if the next downswing is starting.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, W,
SPY: S&P: WATCH AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS NEXT
48 0 4
SPY, W
S&P: WATCH AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

Pulling out of its recent down-swing, we watch to see if the index will be constrained by our speculative Resistance Line (purple), or if it will crash through this line to resume the up-trend. The up-trend has already proceeded beyond reason, and I won't be taking a long position. Should it bounce off the purple line, however, I am ready to resume a short.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, 30, Short ,
SPY: S&P DOWN CHANNEL EMERGING
55 0 5
SPY, 30 Short
S&P DOWN CHANNEL EMERGING

I think the downchannel of the SVP is emerging, and I have replaced my previous "Indicative Resistance Line" (green) with my new "Emerging Resistance Line" (blue). Time, then, not for exiting the short, but for strengthening it!

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, 30, Short ,
SPY: S&P, DOW, NASDAQ: MONITORING THE DOWNSWING
42 0 8
SPY, 30 Short
S&P, DOW, NASDAQ: MONITORING THE DOWNSWING

S&P 500 and DOW 100 reached a peak on 1 Mar 2017, ending a charge that ommenced last November. The trend-line, "Long-term down-slope," indicates the possible top of the down-slope of the potentially-emerging Bear Market. If so, there will be upswings and downswings within this down-trend. The "Indicative Resistance LIne" indicates a possible marker (Resistance ...

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, W, Short ,
SPY: DOW AND NASDAQ FOLLOW S&P DOWN
64 1 7
SPY, W Short
DOW AND NASDAQ FOLLOW S&P DOWN

The Dow, (here echoed in the DIA ETF on the DOW 100 shown green), quickly followed the S&P, (here echoed in the SPV ETF on the S&P 500, shown blue), and then the NASDAQ (here echoed in the QQQ ETF on the NASDAQ, shown blue), joined in the dip. It is too soon to say if this is the beginning of a downtrend, but why not, since the indexes are overvalued?

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, M, Short ,
SPY: Short on Social & Poor 500 ETF
53 0 4
SPY, M Short
Short on Social & Poor 500 ETF

I am betting that the Social & Poor index will take a bit of a tumble. While it will probably sink over the next three years right down to $160, my initial bet is to the 5-year Support Line, exiting the bet at $224.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen CRH, M, Short ,
CRH: CRH: TIME TO SELL
23 0 3
CRH, M Short
CRH: TIME TO SELL

Having fallen a little over the last 5 days, should we expect CRH to recover? Not at all! With a P/E of c. 27, the stock is over-priced. Even with a continuation of profit growth at almost 8%, a significant fall must be anticipated. I would say: sell now and buy later after the price tumbles to around £22 (LSE price).

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPX500, W, Short ,
SPX500: S&P 500 TO CRASH
202 0 12
SPX500, W Short
S&P 500 TO CRASH

S&P 500 to crash from 2277 to 1600, or even 1300? It may seem unbelievable, but this would be a drop in P/E from the excessively high level of 25.5 down to its median level of 14.65. Trump's economic policy, negatie on trade, is likely to see a contraction in GDP rather than a rise. Tomorrow is the first of February, so we can expect to see prices falling now ...

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen BABA, D,
BABA: ALI BABA UPTREND DEFINED
61 0 4
BABA, D
ALI BABA UPTREND DEFINED

The pink trend lines are my original depiction of the uptrend. The green arrow shows my original prediction of an upswing. The pink oval area shows how the graph dropped further than I envisaged, with the consequent redrawing of the trend lines (blue) and the blue arrow showing my revised prediction of the upswing. The graph bounced off my blue Resistance Line and ...

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen DOWI, M, Short ,
DOWI: DOW ETC. TO HAVE A NICE FALL
128 0 7
DOWI, M Short
DOW ETC. TO HAVE A NICE FALL

The chart shows the Dow Industrial Index to be at a peak. Wall Street Journal gives the P/E of Dow Industrials (Current price over earnings for 2016) at 21.44. Nasdaq and S&P are even more extended, at 25, and Dow Utility at 28. Meanwhile DAX is around 18. Pressure will now be on the American indexes to plunge towards a P/E of 18 (but based on estimated earnings ...

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen BABA, W, Long ,
BABA: ALIBABA UPTREND COMMENCES
37 0 4
BABA, W Long
ALIBABA UPTREND COMMENCES

My original prediction of an uptrend for ALIBABA (red trend lines and green arrow) was a bit out, so I have re-drawn the lines, showing a somewhat gentler upslope, but I expect a little hesitation over the next few days

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen DOWI, M, Short ,
DOWI: DOW: NEXT IT'S DOWN
113 0 9
DOWI, M Short
DOW: NEXT IT'S DOWN

Patterns repeat. Share prices have hit a zenith and the next movement will be down.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen BABA, W, Long ,
BABA: ALIBABA TO BREAK OUT OF DOWN-SWING
100 0 6
BABA, W Long
ALIBABA TO BREAK OUT OF DOWN-SWING

This week ALIBABA must break through either the Resistance Line of the downswing or the Support Line of the uptrend. I guess the Support Line will hold and the next swing is upwards. It could be an upswing of 205, if the green trend arrow is followed.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen NAS100, W, Short ,
NAS100: NASDAQ NO BREAKOUT
52 0 5
NAS100, W Short
NASDAQ NO BREAKOUT

The curved line I first drew 3 months' ago still holds, despite a near break-out on Friday last. Downtrend not yet evident, perhaps imminent. Watch to see if Resistance Line R is breached this week.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen EIRL, W, Long ,
EIRL: EIRL Irish Shares ETF shaken by BREXIT
9 0 5
EIRL, W Long
EIRL Irish Shares ETF shaken by BREXIT

While many of the leading Irish companies in the EIRL basket have an international footprint, the upward slope of the ETF from 2012 to June 2016 (if we leave out the excessive exuberance of 2014) closely matches the growth of the Irish economy in that period. Anxiety over the BREXIT referendum flattened the top of the chart in the months leading up to the ...

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen DOWI, M,
DOWI: DOWI PRESEDENTIAL ERAS
75 0 5
DOWI, M
DOWI PRESEDENTIAL ERAS

The chart maps the progress of DOWI (The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, blue) against US GDP (green) and National Debt (red) over the last 5 presedential terms. Economic growth was steady under Reagan and the first Bush and accelerated under Clinton, but with "irrational exuberance" in the stock market. The second Bush saw the collapse of the Dot-Com boom and ...

123456... Show More Ideas
2677
206
12717
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
62
1
273
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
55
1
258
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit India
13
0
58
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
33
25
288
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
8
1
38
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit United Kingdom
339
154
2862
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
7
0
40
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit LONDON
174
75
2183
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Online USA State of Tennessee - Nashville
176
22
947
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
7
0
30
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Portugal
8
1
30
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit EUROPE
5502
481
55501
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
7
1
31
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
7
0
35
Message Follow Following Unfollow
32
19
307
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
9770
3156
86752
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
4
0
20
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
17
2
92
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit United States
76
5
368
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit USA
1222
126
4445
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit United States
2200
204
8438
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
43
79
208
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit UK / Germany
66
160
273
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit International, Beijing
348
74
1676
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Australia/ VietNam
82
60
1056
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Argentina
37
19
402
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit
893
638
11717
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit wattsapp 0021655192011/skype:ebdelligann
212
182
1869
Message Follow Following Unfollow
UEC
URANIUM ENERGY CORP
Follow Following Unfollow
EURUSD
Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
Follow Following Unfollow
INVN
INVENSENSE INC
Follow Following Unfollow
EURAUD
Euro Fx/Australian Dollar
Follow Following Unfollow
Market
Interval
Browse
Time
Type
Browse
Time
Ideas Scripts Chart
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
France
Italia
Polska
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Forex Signal Finder Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing Sign Out