KrunchieKilleen

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About me Krunchie commits €100 per month to a punt on stocks and shares and gives an account of this in his blog: www.SharesPunt.Blogspot.ie
Joined Dublin, Ireland KrunchieKilleen
Markets Allocation
43 % forex 24 % stocks 7 % indices 26 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 38% | 131 SPX 12% | 43 NAS 12% | 43 SPY 9% | 32
70 0 1
EURUSD, W Short
EUR/USD CURVING DOWN

Echoing the previous downtrend of the Euro against the US Dollar, we see the down-curve sharpening at this moment in time.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, W, Short ,
77 0 3
SPY, W Short
War Clouds over the Indexes

The Language of War ("Give way or we will punish you") does not achieve peace. Trump and his allies (Putin, Netanyau, Erdogan, Kim Yung Un, etc.) are using this language. Words of War tend to lead to war. Let the markets quiver. If the language does not change sharply, we are heading for a Bear Market, .. and maybe worse.

68 0 3
EURUSD, W
EUR/USD PAUSES IN ITS DOWNTREND

News that ECB is considering winding down its QE programme brought a rally in the Euro against the US Dollar. However, the downtrend will probably resume.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, D, Long ,
60 0 1
SPY, D Long
INDEXES RESURGENT

Any threat of downtrend dissolves as the indexes surge ahead.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen EURUSD, 60, Short ,
69 0 1
EURUSD, 60 Short
EUR/USD TO KEEP FALLING

For a while the slope of the slide of the Euro against the US Dollar was easing. Current political difficulties in Italy (what is unusual about that?) seems to be the cause of an acceleration in the slide. The Euro has a long way to go before the trend will reverse.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, W, Short ,
155 0 3
SPY, W Short
INDEXES RALLY OVER: DOWNTREND TO RESUME

The Two-year Support Line was tested in March and April, but the markets rallied during May, breaking through this year's Resistance Line. The rally has run out of steam, and it looks like this Support Line will be tested again shortly. My guess is that the chart will break through this time, resuming the downtrend.

52 0 0
SPY, M
INDEXES DOWNTREND TO RESUME

The Downtrend in the Indexes has been stalled by recent good employment figures and low inflation. However, the peak of January 2018 still shows as the apex of the QE and ZIRP era, from which the chart must descend. In the meantime, we wait to see if the present resurgence will continue until the January peak is matched, or if the downtrend will resume before the ...

85 0 2
EURUSD, W Short
EUR-USD CONTINUES DOWNWARD

The Eirp continues downward against the US Dpllar, as I predicted.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, 120, Short ,
131 0 1
SPY, 120 Short
INDEXES DOWNSWING POSTPONED A WHILE

Good employment figures boosted the INDEXES and postponed the Downswing, which will happen nonetheless.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, 120, Short ,
98 0 2
SPY, 120 Short
INDEXES: SELLING IN MAY

Well, that bounce was, indeed, short-lasting. The current dip promises to be substantial.

61 0 0
SPY, 120
INDEXES TO HAVE DEAD-CAT BOUNCE

The imminent upswig of the Idexes is likely to be short-lasting, as the slope of the Downtrend intensifies. (If not, consider that the downtrend may be suspended for some months).

81 0 1
EURUSD, M
EUR/USD DOWNTREND

The Euro will, no doubt, continue to down-trend against the US Dollar for the rest of this year, as Quantitative Tightening and rate rises in the USA contrast with continuing Quantitative Easing and rate conservatism in Europe.

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, M, Short ,
98 0 1
SPY, M Short
INDEXES: Strength of the Bear

The 8-year cycle from 1995 to 2003 ended when the Dot-com burst happened. The 6-year cycle form 2003 to 2009 came tumbling down with the recession caused by the banking crisis. The 7-year Recovery cycle from 2009 to 2016 was driven by Quantitative Easing and Zero Rate policy. Driving the present downturn in the Indexes is upward pressure on bank rates. Unless ...

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, W, Short ,
63 2 1
SPY, W Short
INDEXES: SHAPE OF THE DOWNTREND

The shape of the Downtrend

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, D, Short ,
47 0 0
SPY, D Short
INDEXES: DOWNSWING NEXT

The upswing predicted in my previous post has reached its zenith sooner than expected. No doubt the downswing is imminent.

222 0 6
SPY, D
INDEXES: DOWNWARD CHANNEL EMERGING

A downward channel is emerging. The daily swings, affected by bits and pieces of news, will merge into an overall upward swing, raising the prices by c. 5% by the end of May, followed by a downswing knocking the prices by 10% in June. Strategy is, therefore, initially long, followed more confidently by short

KrunchieKilleen KrunchieKilleen SPY, 60, Short ,
55 1 2
SPY, 60 Short
Indexes in a sharp downwing

The swings of the Indexex map out a sharper parabola than I predicted in my previous post. I have, therefore, re-drawn the expected swings, and expect the trend to be downwards for the moment anyway.

62 0 1
SPY, D
INDEXES TO HAVE A DEAD-CAT BOUNCE NEXT

Continuing the recent pattern, the Indexes should have a little bounce from here, but then settle into a downtrend.

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