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NASDAQ:QQQ has shaped Head-and-Shoulders formation on the daily chart. Daily downtrend confirmed, weekly consolidation has started. Please note that broad SP500 market is still technically in an uptrend, meaning that buyers are still strong. So if you plan entering SHORT on QQQ I would wait for a pullback to increase risk-reward. An example of possible trade is...

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In this video I explain how to indentify trends on the chart and how to use this knowledge to make trading decisions. At the end of the video we'll create a simple yet profitable trading strategy Waves Light indicator: Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advices, just sharing my thoughts

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The last week kicked off with bears challenging the previous week's low (505), coming close to success. Bulls stepped in, mounting a strong defense and steering prices back to a historical high. It might have been a convincing victory if only they could have sustained it until Friday's closure, but that didn't materialize. Friday concluded on a bearish note,...

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Put together information on what is happening in major S&P sectors Majority of sectors are strong on the daily chart. There are some short-term problems on lower timeframe but they can be overcome. This is good for buyers as it shows that money is not leaving the market but moving from one sector to another. A lot will depend on tech bulls. XLK must clear 212...

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There is an ongoing discussion within the trading community about which tool is better for analyzing market behavior: Market Profile (MP) or Volume Profile (VP). The former was popularized by Jim Dalton in his book "Mind Over Markets," while the latter has many advocates as well, including Peter Reznicek (aka ShadowTrader). With the release of the new "Time Price...

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Bulls have finished last week with a spectacular rally. It was quite clear that they were taking some rest before a run but even I was surprised by their Friday achievements (see ) The outlook for this week is easily defined: BULLS, BULLS, BULLS. The daily chart looks great (daily uptrend, new high), there is absolutely no warning signals on lower timeframe (last...

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Interesting setup on NASDAQ:TSLA Price was bracketing for the last four days. The high level context is certainly bullish (daily uptrend, strong market) but bulls met strong resistance as they tried to close gap from January 24th. Two possible ways to play it LONG: either from range bottom with profit target at range high and above; or wait for bullish...

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Price overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities. In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a...

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After a spectacular rally last week market bulls are taking a pause. Last two days look quite bearish on the daily chart but if we look at lower timeframes we won't see any signs of strong selling. Price is drifting down very slowly as a result of profit taking and low initiative from buyers. The high level context is still very bullish: we're in an uptrend,...

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Trading on multiple timeframes can significantly improve your risk-reward ratio, regardless of what TA technique, you are using. Let’s look at the recent example (SPY ETF) Third week of February started with a strong sell-off (Monday-Tuesday 13th). Price retraced >50% of the previous move, signaling potential trend reversal. At this point market Bears started...

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Yesterday, bulls regained full control over broad market, not just managing to set daily higher low but doing it spectacularly. With no historical resistance above it is impossible to say when this rally will end. Any short trade should be discouraged until there are some clear signs of reversal. Bulls, who missed the move, can look for 15m/1h consolidations for...

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Great hourly double bottom shaped yesterday on Netflix chart. The context looks good: we are in the correction wave on daily with retracement ~50%. Broad market also recovered yetserday and looks strong. I'll be defintely watching reaction near 586 level, where strong sell-off occured on Tuesday, with a goal to enter on the next hourly higher low

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Developing triangle on SPY. The context doesn't provide much clue which direction it will resolve. We have clear trend reversal signs on daily chart (Lower high is set) but weekly consolidation has not yet started so there is still opporunity for bulls to set daily higher low. Adding to bearish side is slightly unfilled gap from Tuesday. But this is very minor...

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On Friday QQQ set daily lower high, marking potential trend reversal. Now bears must lead price all the way down (below 425.3) to start weekly consolidation. If this doesn't happen fast and bulls manage to set daily higher low then uptrend continuation is still an option. Also notable that bulls were able to close price gap from Tuesday, and bull wave retracement...

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Short term opportunity for a LONG. Context: Market: strong Ticket weekly: Up wave Ticket daily: Up wave Ticket 1h: uptrend, consolidation (down wave) Last day: Gap-up open, price didn't find much support from buyers and was rejected. Rejection wasn't strong enough (price didn't reach prev day low), which shows lack of strong sellers interest. Conclusion:...

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QQQ weekly consolidation confirmed Context: weekly - downtrend (DT) daily - uptrend (UT) Last day: Price broke previous week low, signaling start of weekly consolidation. Value is overlapping with the previous day. Conclusion: Market looks very bearish but there is an interesting nuance. Although weekly consolidation confirmed we're still in daily UT,...

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Context: Weekly - uptrend (UT) Daily - downtrend (DT) Last day: Value moved down but left very poor and weak high Special notes: Daily RSI is in oversold. Price at DMA200 support Conclusion: A lot of selling in the last 10 days. Market is getting too short and needs to cover those shorts before moving further down. Last day indicates lack of strong...

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Last week was a small win for bitcoin bulls as they managed to set weekly higher low. As we noted this win was not very convincing, and hence didn't lead to much upside. In order to strengthen their position bulls needed to set daily higher low (HL) near range value area to confirm daily uptrend (UT). This happened yesterday but for some reason bulls were unable...