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Markets Allocation
17 % forex 4 % indices 4 % stocks 74 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 26% | 6 SPX 26% | 6 XAUUSD 17% | 4 EUSTX 13% | 3
magnans magnans XAUUSD, 120, Short ,
160 2 0
XAUUSD, 120 Short
GOLD : Bearish Divergence in 120min

I am still a convinced bear on XAUUSD (see "Is Gold Still a safe-heaven") This bearish divergence signals us another opportunity to short XAUUSD at a good level. Moreover, we are hitting a more long term resistance (see in D). My first target is at 1145 around the 200 moving average (in red). Then we would need an update on a more long term chart to know what's ...

magnans magnans SPX500, 240, Short ,
60 0 0
SPX500, 240 Short
Q3 Earnings are going to hurt SPX

The SPX is still following the 2011 pattern and I still think we should retest the low. The retest we saw last week was not relatively important. My target was not hit last week (around 1850) and then I still have a bearish sentiment. Technically, the SPX is having a rangy trajectory and as we are at the top of the canal, it could be a good opportunity to enter ...

magnans magnans USOIL, 240, Long ,
36 0 0
USOIL, 240 Long
WTI congestion continues

WTI is trading in sideway since the short squeeze. The congestion phase continues, but if WTI pop above 46, we could see some stop triggered and a little rally toward 48. This is a short term play, however, I still think WTI should rally at 50 before the end of the year.

magnans magnans SPX500, 240, Short ,
60 2 1
SPX500, 240 Short
SPX breaking support - Congestion ending - Retest of the lows

It is pretty clear that we broke something important here.... Next supports at 1930 / 1900

magnans magnans SPX500, 240, Short ,
67 2 2
SPX500, 240 Short
Update : SPX is in a congestion phase and should restest the low

For the mom my scenario is still alive, if it brakes the support of the flag pattern we could finally see the lows again. See previous post ("Related Ideas")

magnans magnans EUSTX50, 120, Short ,
8 0 0
EUSTX50, 120 Short
H&S Being Completed on Eurostoxx50

Update on the H&S highlighted in "Post Fed : Uncertainty remains, markets are not going to like it" Post earlier today. Market is down after the decision of the fed. Uncertainty remains. Should go dipper with US mkt open. Below 3142 (confirmation point) there is no major resistance. Target at 3000

magnans magnans EUSTX50, 240, Short ,
10 0 0
EUSTX50, 240 Short
Post Fed : Uncertainty remains, markets are not going to like it

The theory of second restest of the low stays after the decision of the fed not to hike the fed fund rate. Uncertainty remains and market is now looking forward and there is no good news so far in the horizon.. I see a potential H&S to play.

magnans magnans USOIL, 240, Long ,
47 0 0
USOIL, 240 Long
Update : Consolidation on WTI almost done

WTI is breaking the resistance, if it close above tonight, we could see WTI rallying again. However, in these times of high volatility, and because everything is depending on Fed decision of tomorrow, we could see irrational movements.

magnans magnans USOIL, 240, Long ,
46 0 1
USOIL, 240 Long
Consolidation on WTI almost done

We can see a nice conso in 240 above the 200ma. If we do not break again under 44, we could hope a restart of the rally on WTI. I'm still targeting 50. To be continued...

magnans magnans SPX500, 240, Short ,
189 1 0
SPX500, 240 Short
SPX is in a congestion phase and should restest the lows

In these time of uncertainty, it is very difficult to take a position on the equity markets. I still think there is no reason to have a bigger correction than the one we have known in August, but I believe the market has to retest the lows before rallying again. I think several scenarios/events could hit the market before the end of October. (2 possible FOMC ...

magnans magnans RUBEUR, D, Long ,
53 0 1
Clear Correlation between RUB and WTI

To answer to a comment that "Rulbe detached itself from oil... continued to fall despite oil stabilized!" I do not think so. Just look at the chart. There is huge correlation between them. I would play a rebound on OIL and RUB

magnans magnans EURRUB, D, Short ,
507 6 3
Is the Rubble going to rebound with the Crude ?

Last week, we saw a huge short squeeze in oil and it seems that there could bee a opportunity for Crude's bulls. The RUB lost a big part of its value due to the Global fall in commodity prices. However if we believe RUB and Crude touched the bottom, then we could try a short USDRUB, or if you think EUR is going to be smashed by Yellen on September (or October, or ...

magnans magnans SPX500, 240, Short ,
55 0 0
SPX500, 240 Short
Correction on SPX not finished yet / Retest of the lows?

Without any good/bad news, market is fluctuating in sideways and should not take a direction before FED rate hike decision... I am a bull in the longterm, but I prefer to wait and see what the market will do from today till the FED day.. To be opportunistic I would play a short position and wait for a retest of the lows.

72 3 1
Find SPX bottom with the VIX (2011 comparison)

This chart has been inspired by Tony Dwyer idea that there should be a retest of the 40 levels on VIX by the end of September/October. In 2011, we were more or less in the same situation, we saw VIX climbing above 40 a first time and then a second time later. This hypothesis suggest market is still not ready to be 100% bullish before testing again the lows of ...

magnans magnans XAUUSD, 120, Short ,
49 0 2
XAUUSD, 120 Short
Golden Cross on Gold in 120min

Gold is consolidating above the 1117-1118 resistance (go to "Gold should resume its fall" to see previous analysis), that could make us think it's not going to slip further into dips this week. However, in 120, we can see a nice Golden cross (50,100 and 200 MA crossing) that is saying "SELL!!!" If it breaks 1117, we could see gold touch 1100 by the end of the ...

magnans magnans EUSTX50, 240, Long ,
30 0 0
EUSTX50, 240 Long
Retest of the lows / Play the correction or buy dips

Personally, I am a convinced bull. I see the major correction of the end of August as the previous corrections we saw in 2011 or even before in 1998 (see SPX and VIX in 2011 to see the similarities). We are more or less in the same situation today, and as corrections rarely make a "v" bottom (especially after such a sharp fall) I'll take my chance buying the ...

magnans magnans USOIL, 120, Long ,
67 0 1
USOIL, 120 Long
Correction on WTI, opportunity to buy

I'm long since 42 price level, with a target above 50 by the end of the year. However we see a double top in 120, we could see a correction before the weekend, so time to take some profits and maybe add some long pos. at 43-43.50 levels.

magnans magnans XAUUSD, D, Short ,
73 0 0
Gold should resume its fall

With the equity market rebound, gold should continue its fall. Additionally to my previous analysis on gold ("Is gold still a Safe Haven?"), I put a confirmation line which I think if it's broke, XAUUSD should fall more rapidly (see Indicators are almost giving a signal to sell, RSI almost below 50, crossing of the MACD and stoch lines and DMI should restart ...

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