USDCAD (Daily): The USDCAD is in a slight uptrend where it is slowly grinding higher. It has tested the 50 SMA leaving a long lower wick. In this type of price action the up moves are not sustained with deep retracements. Major support is at 1.30000. My upside targets are at 1.327x (previous high) and 1.337x (127.2% ext as well as measured move). My initial...
GBPUSD (4H): Price broke to the upside of the triangle pattern and is currently at the 50 SMA as well as near the previous high created Oct 11. The trend is clearly down and I expect selling of bearish price action at this level as well as the other overhead resistance zones (up to the 61.8% retracement). I would only consider buying (counter trend trade on a...
GBPUSD (Daily): After trading in a range for more than 3 months the GBPUSD finally broke sharply to the downside. Price trades through, then pullback from the 1.20000 level as well as the lower range expansion target. Price is currently trading sideways and all the price action is contained within the candle created on Oct 11. Although the downward momentum has...
USDJPY (4H): After double bottoming (on Sept 27) at the 100.00 support zone, price moved sharply higher and is now back at previous resistance. THe 50 SMA has catch up with current prices (due to slowing momentum) and there is a rising wedge which I am expecting to break to the downside. My downside targets would be the 103.0x zone (38.2% retracement) then the...
USDJPY (Daily): is at the 61.8% retracement of the previous swing low. Price has broken the upper trend line of the down channel. The resistance zone was previously tested On Sept 2 and higher prices were rejected. Price is trading above the 20 and 50 SMA. I am looking for a move (at least) back to the moving averages and possible to the lows of the bull channel.
EURUSD (4H): The downward momentum has slowed as price runs into the 1.10000 level. I expect some correction. This zone is also the 161.8% extension of a previous down swing. Price is trading slightly below the down channel lows and is overextended with significant separation from the 50 SMA. The USD as been strong and I expect selling pressure at previous swing...
EURUSD Daily broke and close below the 1.10000 level. Price is trading towards the low of the down channel. The 1.10000 zone has acted as support in the past and could do so again.
SPX500 (4H) is coiling into a wedge pattern the centre of the consolidation is around the 216x zone. Both the 20 and the 50 SMA have flattened. The price action seems rather balanced. It should however be noted that the last dominant move was a swing low. There is immediate resistance at the 217x zone and immediate support at the 214x zone.
SPX500 (Daily) has been trading sideways and below the 50 SMA. Price halted it advance without tagging 2200, then fell sharply to the 38.2% retracement of the previous up swing. The uptrend that started February 11 2016 is still in tact since price has not broken any significant swing low. Currently most of the price action is contained within the bearish candle...
USOIL (4H) Oil is trading slightly above $50. Will more buyers step in and push prices higher or is it time for the bulls to take profits? There is significant separation between the current price and the 50 SMA. Are the bulls willing to keep buying at these prices or will they prefer a retracement to the moving average before taking prices higher? "The trend is...
USOIL (Daily) still in an uptrend starting from the lows created on February 11 2016. Price is however at resistance at $50 as well as the 61.8% retracement of the previous down swing. This zone is also a previous swing high. The last two times the market approached this zone it turned lower. Will the market turn lower again? or will price trades to the top of the...
On the GBPUSD (4H) chart, price is trading close to the low of the bear channel after bouncing off the 161.8% (at 1.2690x) extension of a prior swing low. Since we are currently trading below the range lows, I would expect this area to act as resistance. The market is over extended and there is significant separation between price and the 50 SMA as well as the 20...
On the GBPUSD (Daily) chart, price has broken through the low of a trading range. It is also at the low of a down channel. Until there is a clear breakout from the range, I am looking for range rotation. Hence I am expecting price to return to the top of the range. Note that since the sharp move down (resulting from the Brexit vote) the 38.2% retracement has not...
This is such a CHOP. Trade from the edges of the support and resistance zones and avoid the middle. There is resistance above the consolidation zone (1.125xx - 1.128xx). The top (down channel) line will also act as resistance. Support is at the down channel low as well as between (1.112xx - 1.114xx) where the market has bounced several times. However expect...
On the Daily chart the EURUSD continues to chop sideways. This has been the case from the beginning of September 2016. Currently price appears to be supported by the 50 SMA and chops between the 1.11 to the 1.13 zone with 1.12 acting as support and resistance at times. Overall we are still in a bearish trend since we have not broken the down channel line.
I am bullish if price trades above the highs. May also look for a 50% retracement of the candle.
If I am a bull; Look for buying opportunities at the 1.3 support zone or the low of the bull channel with targets being the top of the bull channel or the 161.8% extension, 78.6% retracement confluence. Remember the bear channel high (4H chart) which will act as falling resistance. . . If I am a bear; Wait for strong break and weak retest of the 1.3 zone and also...