On Friday the daily range was 37 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 65 pips. That's almost 50% short of hitting the daily range. When price misses the daily range projection, the following day or next few days, price will compensate that. Price expansion should happen and if it happens today, then I hope a 70 pips run today. The 20-day average daily range (20-day...
On Friday the daily range was 31 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 35 pips. I would consider it a hit. The 20-day average daily range (20-day ADR) for today is 34 pips. I am anticipating 55-65 pips run between today until Tuesday's London open at 3 pm (Singapore/Malaysia time). AUDUSD is in a bit of a run now to the upside. I am a trend follower believe it or not...
I had a friend who said to me as soon as I said I have a Long position on an airline stock CFD, would I short sell that stock CFD if, god forbid, something bad happens to that airline? It made me sick to think about it. If there were accidents happened and there were ways that me as a currency/stock CFD trader, able to take advantage of it i.e short or long the...
On Friday the daily range was 226 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 224 pips. Allow me for little hindsight analysis here (the worst kind I know) : The 20-Day ADR was hit on Friday and the root of that intraday bearish move was on Wednesday when price close above Monday and Tuesday-Wednesday high and tested the Tuesday-Wed Low. The 20-day average daily range...
On Friday the daily range was 53 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 57 pips. I would consider it as a hit and pretty surprising considering the range on Thursday was 159 pips but I appreciate that it probably be skewed by the fact that it was ECB Rate Decision day, hunting day for the institutional traders looking for liquidity. The 20-day average daily range (20-day...
At the beginning of the week, price closed above previous Friday's high and that Monday high became a strong resistance level for this pair until today. I was bearish bias even until now. Why am I bearish bias even though the P1 had been activated thanks to the institutional traders failed to be very subtle with their stop hunts. I have mentioned in my other posts...
I have mentioned several times in my post that when a pair didn't reach its minimum range based on the 20-day average daily range, the market will compensate that "pips shortages" in the following day, in two or three days or the following week. These small ranges are more common in a flat market, where it is in an accumulation phase. "Ranging market begets...
Thanks to liquidity run before the ECB rate decision towards .88900 - .89000, it activated P1 (Price broke and close below Tuesday-Wednesday low) and I am intraday bullish bias for EURGBP. There are two potential targets for my bullish intentions for this pair which are the 20-week average range (upside projection) and the Boomerang target. If you do not know what...
Referring to this post : This is why you should not trade risk events. You will be hunted, that is a guarantee
I am still stuck in this trade (read it here : Yesterday and just today's Sydney session, I saw stop a hunt towards at .68850 - .68750. You could just see the long wick candles. These two "tests" towards that price level creates two equal-ish highs hence I will determine just above it as a valid liquidity pool. My stoploss is in that as well. There is...
Apabila nampak level yang terlalu jelas, maka besar kemungkinan tempat itu akan menjadi zon yang diperhatikan dan apabila zon itu menjadi tempat perhatian maka banyak "orders" akan duduk disana. When you see obvious levels, you can bet EVERYONE will see it. When everyone sees it, then there will be A LOT of interest at those zones. When there are a lot of...
Price still trading inside last week's range / Friday's range. So far, it has been an "inside day" week as the price didn't even close above Friday's high or low. I have identified several price zones that (based on my personal believe where recent turning points and/or zones that have equal highs or lows have clusters of retail orders) I believe institutional...
Call me a conspiracy theorist all you want but the fact is price look for liquidity. Liquidity exists in price zones that have a lot of participation. Obvious levels and obvious patterns are liquidity pool haven. No, I do not have a "solution" or steps to avoid this phenomenon. I have my own personal ways to navigate it. Is it the best? It is the best for me...
Price closed above the Monday high/Weekly high and there was a slight bearish reaction. I am biased on the bearish side because the P3 activation. I, however looking for the price to make another push and test yesterday's high and if it could reach the last month's high (green line) and take out the liquidity pool sitting above yesterday's high and the monthly...
..and when I say we, I mean us retail traders without financial / economy background. "More hawkish than expected is good for currency" This is what stated in one of the popular website's economic calendar. How do you define more hawkish when it comes to this specific risk event? Is it just simply the headline number "ECB cut rates to 0.25%"? Is it all about the...
This pair has certainly moved to the downside followed by the bank's price manipulation around 1555.225-1555.400 You can read the post about where the current wave originated (the setup that I missed. Yes writing this isn't easy for me : Price closed below last week's and Friday's low. Monday was pretty quiet and low volume trading day as this pair didn't...