Spitting Thoughts : BRENT/WTI, Trading the Drone Attack?....
I had a friend who said to me as soon as I said I have a Long position on an airline stock CFD, would I short sell that stock CFD if, god forbid, something bad happens to that airline? It made me sick to think about it. If there were accidents happened and there were ways that me as a currency/stock CFD trader, able to take advantage of it i.e short or long the involved currency or stock while someone probably hurt or died from that accident, would I still do it?
I do not know as of now if there were human casualties from this drone attack to Saudi oilfields (I pray that no one was killed) but as soon as I read the news yesterday, I knew the oil price would shoot up. I could not help myself as a trader, almost immediately, thought of this: buying the dips.
The Brent closed at $ 60.43 and price as of now is $ 67.xx. I appreciate institutional traders do manipulate market prices for Brent and WTI. What makes the energy market little bit more sensitive is it like pegged with geopolitics. The market reacts this way because potentially, this oil field destructions would cost Saudi 50% of their daily production. The supply will be definitely affected. Demand
Enough fundamental analysis, what does the technicals tells us? There is nothing in my end. Price shoots up and the spike, at the moment has stopped. I am not saying I will trade this as I do not feel good about it, but if someone asked me if I was a human being with no heart and still want to trade the Brent based on this, what would I do moving forward?
Buy the dips. I will look at "key" old resistance levels and see If I could find bullish triggers around that price levels at $ 66.00 - $ 66.50. I expect the price will continue to go up as long as the narrative remains that Saudi Arabia production will be affected, even the company that runs the oilfield claims that they will get it running in no time, market confidence will remain bearish on the company (consequently bullish for the Brent and WTI). Retail traders who don't care much about fundamental analysis, is already lining up to short this instrument hence that is just FOOD for institutional traders who looks at liquidity above anything else right now.
But please, don't trade this.
I do not know as of now if there were human casualties from this drone attack to Saudi oilfields (I pray that no one was killed) but as soon as I read the news yesterday, I knew the oil price would shoot up. I could not help myself as a trader, almost immediately, thought of this: buying the dips.
The Brent closed at $ 60.43 and price as of now is $ 67.xx. I appreciate institutional traders do manipulate market prices for Brent and WTI. What makes the energy market little bit more sensitive is it like pegged with geopolitics. The market reacts this way because potentially, this oil field destructions would cost Saudi 50% of their daily production. The supply will be definitely affected. Demand
Enough fundamental analysis, what does the technicals tells us? There is nothing in my end. Price shoots up and the spike, at the moment has stopped. I am not saying I will trade this as I do not feel good about it, but if someone asked me if I was a human being with no heart and still want to trade the Brent based on this, what would I do moving forward?
Buy the dips. I will look at "key" old resistance levels and see If I could find bullish triggers around that price levels at $ 66.00 - $ 66.50. I expect the price will continue to go up as long as the narrative remains that Saudi Arabia production will be affected, even the company that runs the oilfield claims that they will get it running in no time, market confidence will remain bearish on the company (consequently bullish for the Brent and WTI). Retail traders who don't care much about fundamental analysis, is already lining up to short this instrument hence that is just FOOD for institutional traders who looks at liquidity above anything else right now.
But please, don't trade this.