ADA → Cardano Ready to Rip? Or Dip? Maybe $0.72 before Reversal.

Cardano has been on a ride along with the entire crypto market for months and with a bull flag playing out, looks like we're going to get a little more upward price action. Should we long here?

How do we trade this? 🤔
We need to wait for a pullback to at least the 30EMA, maybe the 200EMA, whenever we see some bullish price action in response. A strong bull signal bar closing near its high and a confirmation candle are preferable. This gives us the necessary probability to enter a long and place a protective stop below the 200EMA around $0.59. Plan to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward around $0.63, move your stop loss up to the entry price to secure profits, then take profits at the next reversal signal or at 1:3 Risk/Reward around $0.727.

We need to be aware that on the higher timeframes, Bitcoin and the crypto market is running hot and we should be on the lookout for a trend change. Either to a trading range and/or a reversal to the downside. We need to close a few more weekly candles to get an indication of the next market moves on the higher timeframes.


💡 Trade Ideas 💡

Long Entry: $0.630
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.599
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.630
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.727
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3


🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑

1. Bull Flag after a Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Near Flag Resistance, Wait for a Pullback.
3. Gap to 1HR 30EMA and 200EMA, Wait for Pullback.
4. RSI at 64.00, Above Moving Average. Bias to Long.
5. Take half profits at 1:1, Remainder at 1:3.


💰 Trading Tip 💰
Bull flags in the proper context, provide over a 60% probability that a trend will continue. This provides justification to enter a long trade.


⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!


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Comment:

ADA is still heading sideways in this bull flag pattern. We're near the apex, so a decision on the price direction will have to be made soon! Give the bars to the left (bull channel with bull flag), we ought to remain long in this scenario.

It's reasonable to long here, but with a much smaller position since we're so late in the bull trend. We have to be on a lookout for a trend change to a trading range or a reversal to the downside after the market has burned this hot.

See my recent Bitcoin Lifetime analysis for the reasons why I think the market will drop before the next all-time highs:

More updates to come as the events unfold!

Trade closed: target reached:

ADA Take Profit target #1 hit! Stop loss was moved to entry and the price fell back down from the previous resistance, hitting our stop loss.

We achieved a scalp as the swing portion of the trade did not play out (yet). It's still possible that the price will break momentarily, but I wouldn't long this again. We need to see if this plays out as a double top reversal pattern and if Bitcoin finally falls and fails to hit $46,000.