First Majestic Silver - Sniper Entries for 9:1 Long Trade
Some thoughts that occur to me while updating the First Majestic Silver chart are teased here, which I hope you will challenge with tough questions. These ideas of mine are meant to arouse the reverse-engineers and provoke the thinkers. As always, I strive to render them so obviously as to require no words.
Nevertheless, First Majestic Silver (AG) is such a titan in this niche industry that it makes an excellent leading indicator. As of this writing, price is well below the "Snipers' Range" (Orange channel), which by itself would be a risky signal of imminent collapse; in this case it offers early, low-risk entry points for many and varied Long positions including the 9:1 shown here.
My strategy is built on innate Pattern Recognition and hard-won sympathy for the Market Maker’s Business Model. My tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION.
Anyways …
Although not shown in this view, the Snipers' Range was established after the low of March 2020, not retested until August 2022, and not overrun until early this year. Above the Red area that contains it, a Blue area indicates a statistically safe "Accumulation Zone" for long-term entries, and this idea takes its final profit at the top of that zone, before price inevitably drops to retest the middle of it.
Furthermore, a target for partial profit taking is suggested, either to de-risk or else to swing out and buy back in. The Stop Loss given is fairly conservative (i.e. wide), and should possibly be moved upward if taking a long position after the Snipers' Range is tested as resistance, and definitely if it is tested as support.
For greater precision, a harmonic pattern is implied, however it must be noted that such patterns are NOT confirmed until the D-point prints, ergo trading the CD leg is especially risky, and requires real-world context not available on the naked chart. If you are enough of a speculator in the metals markets to know the position that First Majestic Silver has in them, then you may have your own reason(s) for suspecting that the price just bottomed.
The Snipers' Range, along with VWAPs anchored to the last Earnings report and to the C-point of the pattern, are a few features from my complete AG chart, which I intend to publish in a more comprehensive video surveying the strategic metals mining sectors. First, though, I have a few more ideas to upload as I update other key charts for the final Quarter of 2023.
Until then, be liquid !!!
Nevertheless, First Majestic Silver (AG) is such a titan in this niche industry that it makes an excellent leading indicator. As of this writing, price is well below the "Snipers' Range" (Orange channel), which by itself would be a risky signal of imminent collapse; in this case it offers early, low-risk entry points for many and varied Long positions including the 9:1 shown here.
My strategy is built on innate Pattern Recognition and hard-won sympathy for the Market Maker’s Business Model. My tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION.
Anyways …
Although not shown in this view, the Snipers' Range was established after the low of March 2020, not retested until August 2022, and not overrun until early this year. Above the Red area that contains it, a Blue area indicates a statistically safe "Accumulation Zone" for long-term entries, and this idea takes its final profit at the top of that zone, before price inevitably drops to retest the middle of it.
Furthermore, a target for partial profit taking is suggested, either to de-risk or else to swing out and buy back in. The Stop Loss given is fairly conservative (i.e. wide), and should possibly be moved upward if taking a long position after the Snipers' Range is tested as resistance, and definitely if it is tested as support.
For greater precision, a harmonic pattern is implied, however it must be noted that such patterns are NOT confirmed until the D-point prints, ergo trading the CD leg is especially risky, and requires real-world context not available on the naked chart. If you are enough of a speculator in the metals markets to know the position that First Majestic Silver has in them, then you may have your own reason(s) for suspecting that the price just bottomed.
The Snipers' Range, along with VWAPs anchored to the last Earnings report and to the C-point of the pattern, are a few features from my complete AG chart, which I intend to publish in a more comprehensive video surveying the strategic metals mining sectors. First, though, I have a few more ideas to upload as I update other key charts for the final Quarter of 2023.
Until then, be liquid !!!
Adrian Dyer,
Chief Strategist and Impresario at The Leading Indicator
Chief Strategist and Impresario at The Leading Indicator