ALSN wrong-way earnings move offers buying opportunity
Allison Transmission annihilated analyst estimates for its earnings and revenue yesterday, spiking 10% after hours but falling during the daytime session today to below yesterday's close. Not only did Allison post a beat for the third quarter, but it has also seen upgrades to its earnings estimates for the next couple years. Allison also got recent good news when the US Army gave it an innovation award for onboard energy conversion in military tactical vehicles, and when Allison and IndyGo announced a partnership to build hybrid electric buses.
In P/E terms, Allison might look a little expensive. It's trading 27% above its median P/E on earnings dates over the last 3 years, 10% above its median forward P/E, and 8% above its median P/FCF. In forward P/S terms, however, it's cheap at 18% below the median. Likewise, it's 24% below the median P/D and P/B of the last three years. The somewhat higher P/E multiples are warranted because of growth expectations. With a PEG of 1.6, Allison is priced for growth.
Sentiment on Allison is fairly good, with about 11% upside to the average analyst price target, and a 7.7/10 analyst summary score (average rating "Buy"). Put/call ratios are bullish. In terms of technicals, Allison has dipped back below a trendline and dropped to a volume support node. Allison might get a bound from volume support here at 35.50, but it would be an even better buy if it dips to 32.
In P/E terms, Allison might look a little expensive. It's trading 27% above its median P/E on earnings dates over the last 3 years, 10% above its median forward P/E, and 8% above its median P/FCF. In forward P/S terms, however, it's cheap at 18% below the median. Likewise, it's 24% below the median P/D and P/B of the last three years. The somewhat higher P/E multiples are warranted because of growth expectations. With a PEG of 1.6, Allison is priced for growth.
Sentiment on Allison is fairly good, with about 11% upside to the average analyst price target, and a 7.7/10 analyst summary score (average rating "Buy"). Put/call ratios are bullish. In terms of technicals, Allison has dipped back below a trendline and dropped to a volume support node. Allison might get a bound from volume support here at 35.50, but it would be an even better buy if it dips to 32.
