GabiDahdouh

AUD/CAD Analysis, Bear Claw is in

Short
FX:AUDCAD   Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar
Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)

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The AUD/CAD has started what seems to be a Bearish movement back in September and it doesn't look it's going to stop any time soon.
The pair is had a small push-up 2 days ago that let people think that the market is stabilizing but today's session started Bearish with a 0.5% drop already.

Technical Analysis with possible Scenarios for the market :

Scenario 1 :

It seems like the market broke the first support line located at 0.91760 today, And the Bears are in control over the market right now and they will increase what power they have to drop the market even more.
The first stop will be the support line at 0.91560 where they might have a small push back from the Bulls but most likely the victory will be on the Bears side, Which will lead to a further drop that will reach the 0.91000 zone

Scenario 2 :

The Bulls are trying to gain control over the market but so far with no luck, If they were able to gain some control it will probably push the price to the first resistance line located at 0.91970 where a big battle will happen and the Bears will go in to take control over the market and continue this Bearish movement, The first stop after this happens will be the second support at 0.91560 and then the 0.91000 zone

Technical indicators show :

1) The market is below the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bearish Sign)
2) The ADX is at 16.11 showing that the market is not trending much right now and that it's having a Negative crossover between DI+ and DI-
3) The RSI is at 39.16 Showing Weakness in the market, with no divergence found between the indicator and the market

Daily Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 0.9176 1) 0.9197
2) 0.9166 2) 0.9206
3) 0.9156 3) 0.9217

Weekly Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 0.9139 1) 0.9218
2) 0.9100 2) 0.9258
3) 0.9060 3) 0.9297

Fundamental point of view :

The Australian Current Account Balance for the fourth quarter was reported at A$14.5B. Economists predicted a figure of A$13.1B. Forex traders can compare this to the Australian Current Account Balance for the third quarter, reported at A$10.0B. Australian Net Exports of GDP for the fourth quarter decreased by 0.1% quarterly. Economists predicted a decrease of 0.3% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Net Exports of GDP for the third quarter, which decreased by 1.9% quarterly.

The Canadian GDP for December is predicted to increase by 0.3% monthly and for the fourth quarter by 7.5% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to the Canadian GDP for November, which increased by 0.7% monthly, and to third-quarter GDP, which increased by 40 .5% annualized.

The forecast for the AUD/CAD remains bearish after price action failed to sustain its upward movement towards the psychological resistance level of 1.0000. According to Paxforex

This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!

Thank you for reading.