FX618Analysis

Will The AUDCHF Break The Neckline of H & S ?

Short
FX:AUDCHF   Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc
This symbol features the Australian Dollar - Swiss Franc cross pair. While less popular than the AUDJPY cross, the AUD/CHF has similar characteristics in that it can be used as a carry trade. Some may also view this pair as a reflection of risk sentiment due to the risk-on nature of the Australian currency and the safe-haven characteristics of the Swiss franc.

Source of above information: www.dailyfx.com/aud-chf

There is no doubt that the head and shoulders pattern have been forming on multiple currency pairs especially the EUR pairs, more specifically the EURUSD. Today the long standing Head And Shoulders pattern on the EURUSD should be completed as the bears are on rampage!. If the EURUSD tumbles in the coming weeks to record LOWS then we should see multiple safehaven FX pairs most notably the CHF and JPY gain momentum as well. This has everything to do with the currency correlation when trading.

Many traders are watching the EURUSD pair at the moment and a potential break to the downside is almost imminent in the coming week and therefore we take a look at the AUDCHF pair in this part of the analysis!. It has rejected the crucial resistance level on multiple occasions (see the blue lines) and its looking to head down. Currently the one of the most prominent confluence factor to support this fact is the formation of the H & S Pattern that is on the verge of completion and the only thing holding is the break of the neckline!

If and only if the weekly candle closes below this neckline (the red line on the chart) we will potentially see the pressure build up to the downside in the coming weeks. Personally for the entry criteria to be met, i would want the weekly candle to close below the neckline and the support level, followed by a slight retracement on the daily charts or 4 hours charts before i can enter this trade SHORT. The TP target is also favorable as the next crucial support level lies far down at 0.7000 psychological level!

It remains to be seen what happens in the coming week and this pair is highly dependent the EURUSD head and shoulders pattern. Personally the EURUSD is a great trade to take but i am already LONG on the USD (NZDUSD). See the related link. Due to this AUDCHF represents the best opportunity to trade if you already have an open position on the USD,

Stay tuned for any updates and signals. Follow me for more indepth analysis and signals. Cheers
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