Buy on dips : Short-term pain, long-term gain.
Trade war menjadi sumber ketidakpastian utama.
Saat ini, kengototan trump dalam kebijakan trade war berkurang akibat dari mulai terasanya perang dagang ke negara tersebut.
S&P 500 melemah (equity terkoreksi), US Yield menurun & The FED dovish.
Hasil dari pembicaraan dagang tersebut membuat AUDJPY berpotensi menguat.
Saat ini, kengototan trump dalam kebijakan trade war berkurang akibat dari mulai terasanya perang dagang ke negara tersebut.
S&P 500 melemah (equity terkoreksi), US Yield menurun & The FED dovish.
Hasil dari pembicaraan dagang tersebut membuat AUDJPY berpotensi menguat.
Comment:
Membentuk Pola Bearish divergent di zona resistance kuat 79.00
Comment:
Beberapa hal yang berpotensi sebagai penggerak AUDJPY adalah :
1. Global sentimen (ECB, BOJ meeting, Trade talk.)
2. Unemployment data
Pada hari senin, 23 Jan.
AU merilis data unemployment
Senin-Rabu
BOJ meeting - dengan ekspektasi policy unchange.
dan juga, Trade talks US-China pada 30 Jan.
1. Global sentimen (ECB, BOJ meeting, Trade talk.)
2. Unemployment data
Pada hari senin, 23 Jan.
AU merilis data unemployment
Senin-Rabu
BOJ meeting - dengan ekspektasi policy unchange.
dan juga, Trade talks US-China pada 30 Jan.
Comment:
Global risk sentiment was pretty much on the upswing this week, which can arguably be attributed to several themes playing out:
1. Improving U.S.-China trade relations sentiment, especially at the end of the week when the WSJ reports that U.S. officials debate lifting tariffs on China to get a trade deal, and today when news of China’s offer of a way to eliminate U.S. trade imbalance.
2. After British PM Theresa May’s Brexit deal defeat on Tuesday and as well as her slim victory in the no-confidence vote on Wednesday, fears of a no-deal Brexit have waned and calls for an extension of Article 50 rises, reducing to probability of several disastrous outcomes for the U.K.
3. Continued sentiment that major central banks will not tighten monetary policy as much as previously thought of in 2018 as economic data continues to weaken across the globe, including the U.S., China and Europe.
1. Improving U.S.-China trade relations sentiment, especially at the end of the week when the WSJ reports that U.S. officials debate lifting tariffs on China to get a trade deal, and today when news of China’s offer of a way to eliminate U.S. trade imbalance.
2. After British PM Theresa May’s Brexit deal defeat on Tuesday and as well as her slim victory in the no-confidence vote on Wednesday, fears of a no-deal Brexit have waned and calls for an extension of Article 50 rises, reducing to probability of several disastrous outcomes for the U.K.
3. Continued sentiment that major central banks will not tighten monetary policy as much as previously thought of in 2018 as economic data continues to weaken across the globe, including the U.S., China and Europe.
Comment:
Membentuk Pola rising wedges, yang biasanya mengarah ke sisi bawah.
Comment:
US-China Relation :
Masih angin-anginan.
Beberapa hal yg bisa diprediksi yang menggerakkan pasar 24 jam sebelumnya :
1. Data ekspor jepang melambat akibat US-China relation
2. US Equity melemah akibat berita melambatnya perekonomian China dan IMF yang memangkas pertumbuhan global.
Masih angin-anginan.
Beberapa hal yg bisa diprediksi yang menggerakkan pasar 24 jam sebelumnya :
1. Data ekspor jepang melambat akibat US-China relation
2. US Equity melemah akibat berita melambatnya perekonomian China dan IMF yang memangkas pertumbuhan global.
