lovinmulika

AUDUSD Potential Swing Buys/ Potential Short Term Sell

FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
AUDUSD has been in a bullish trend since Jan 2022. We recently made a new swing high on the pair based on the H4 analysis.
The pair has also been respecting a trend line to the downside that has acted as support since Jan this year. A look at price action today indicates that we are about to hit that trend line, a fair touch right below the 61.8% fibonacci PRZ level as illustrated.

My opinion is that we will have a rejection to the upside off the trend line and seek highs all the way to the -27% extension.

However, if one is looking at patterns, the daily/ weekly time frames indicate that we had a strong Wammie (double-bottom) which catapulted price to the recent highs and might provide a pullback all the way to the neckline of the same. If this holds, I will be comfortable shorting the pair on the intra-day to around 0.72650.

My swing strategy: take on buys if we have a structural shift at the trend line/61.8% fibonacci and aim for the -27% extension.
Short term: take on sells if price continues with the current momentum and breaks the 61.8% fib to the downside with no shift in structure. Aim for 0.72650 as the key daily level where price is bound to be gravitated into.

Happy pippin!

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