darcsherry

AUDUSD | Perspective for the new week

Long
FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
This will be my first long term perspective on this pair as I have waited a whole 2 months to identify a double bottom structure within a strong demand zone that has held price "supported" since July 2020! The strong memory for buying tendency at $0.7000 is a clue for an opportunity to buy the Aussie in the coming week(s). The Aussie advanced for a third consecutive week and is currently trading at around the $0.717 area - my key level, as lack of demand for the USD looms despite the dismal ruling mood.

Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom)
Observation: i. From the weekly perspective, it is obvious that the Aussie has been on a decline (12.63% drop) since February last year.
ii. And the price is back to the $0.7 area two consecutive times (December 2021 and January 2022) resulting in the appearance of a double bottom structure in a zone that has a strong memory for buying power.
iii. The double bottom pattern is a technical analysis charting pattern that describes a potential change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action which has lasted for a whole year.
iv. Even as we await a confirmation which will happen if the price break above the resistance level which is the neckline at $0.72750; Above the key level at $0.71700 remains a comfortable area to take advantage of the bullish bias identified with an opportunity to add to our exiting position at a breakout/retest of the bearish trendline.
CAUTION: Considering the long term bearish momentum on this chart, it is advisable that we remain conscious with our positions as any break below the demand zone at $0.7 will negate the bullish narrative... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 350 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 15 to 25days

NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.

Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.


Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Trade smart. Trade consciously
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