msk_analysis

BankNifty - 15 April Expiry Trade setup

NSE:BANKNIFTY   Nifty Bank Index
BNF before the budget retraced up from 0.786 lvls of the last swing

the next rally saw a retracement from 0.886 lvls of the last swing

the fall to 0.886 lvls has been interesting - from a vertical rise after budget BNF was following a falling wedge pattern and did a break down from that and started following a descending triangle pattern. it broke down from that as well

yesterday it tested back descending triangle pattern bottom

Both the patterns lead to bullish set-ups but both failed ... It should give wild moves from here.. upside or downside is not known but wild strong moves could be seen this expiry

NASDAQ is nearing its all-time high and US bond yields are cooling off - will this trigger wild bullish moves? or would increasing coronavirus cases act as a dampener

The opening of BNF would tell about the day movement -

if huge GAP UP - expect a bullish trending day
if huge GAP DOWN - expect a bearish expiry

if small GAP or GAP DOWN - expect a range-bound day

Have marked some targets on charts - it's an expiry trade where premium decay would happen very fast. play with SL as per your risk appetite


Happy Trading
MSK

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