BBRI : Rebound, Targeting Rp5750 pre-2024 Election Volatility

On November 1, 2023, Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) stock exhibited a notable touch on the lower trendline at Rp4930. This technical analysis delves into the implications of this touch, marked by a bullish pattern and rapid ascent, further substantiated by the stock's position above the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200 and a positive MACD crossover. The objective is to explore the basis for the continuation of the upward trend with a potential target range of Rp5750 before the anticipated market volatility preceding the 2024 Indonesian elections.

Technical Analysis:

Lower Trendline Touch and Bullish Pattern:
- The touch on the lower trendline at Rp4930 signals a substantial support level, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
- The emergence of a bullish pattern reinforces the positive sentiment, indicative of a swift upward movement.

EMA 200 Position:
- The stock's positioning above the EMA 200 signifies a robust long-term momentum.
- The close proximity of the stock price to the EMA 200 provides additional confirmation of the potential for a sustained upward trend.

MACD Conditions:
- The MACD exhibits a bullish condition with a crossover of the signal line to the upside and a positive histogram.
- The bullish signal from MACD supports the notion that buyer momentum is on the rise.

Upside Target:

Upper Target (Resistance):
- Given the confirmation from the trendline, EMA 200, and MACD, the initial upside target is set around Rp5750 or higher.
- This level encapsulates potential technical resistance that the BBRI stock may encounter during its upward trajectory.

Additional Analysis:

Supplementary Indicators:
- Further confirmation from auxiliary indicators like RSI and trading volume is recommended to provide a comprehensive view of trend strength and market participation.

Market News Monitoring:
- The potential for market volatility leading up to the 2024 Indonesian elections underscores the importance of vigilantly monitoring market news and political developments.

Risk Considerations:

- Effective risk management involves placing a stop-loss beneath the trendline or support level.


In conclusion, BBRI stock presents a compelling case for a continuation of its upward trajectory, supported by the confirmation from the trendline, EMA 200, and MACD. With a potential upside target of Rp5750, investors should remain vigilant as the market navigates the uncertainties leading up to the 2024 Indonesian elections. Regularly updating analyses in response to evolving market conditions and seeking advice from financial professionals is advisable before making investment decisions.


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