Oil prices fell over 1% on Tuesday as the European Central Bank signaled more interest rate hikes. Investors awaited data on U.S. fuel consumption during the summer driving season. Brent crude futures dropped 1.6% to $72.96 a barrel. Higher interest rates and concerns about economic slowdown in Europe put pressure on prices. U.S. inventory data and a Reuters poll indicating a likely decrease in inventories were anticipated. The backwardation in Brent crude and shallow contango in the market reflect supply concerns easing and a slightly oversupplied market. Geopolitical events, such as the Wagner mutiny in Russia, have been overshadowed by macroeconomic considerations. Chinese oil demand in the second half remains crucial, with plans to invigorate markets yet to be detailed.
Recent events in Russia have set the stage for a potential oil price rebound. However, uncertain global macroeconomic conditions make it difficult to predict when a break in support and a move lower might occur. US Crude Oil Inventories saw a double decline, while drilling activity in the US decreased. WTI and Brent prices have been testing support levels, but each rebound has been less significant. The convergence of long-term resistance and support levels suggests an imminent decision for oil's direction. Geopolitical factors and economic indicators influence prices. Confirmation below $72 for Brent would indicate further downside potential.
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Recent events in Russia have set the stage for a potential oil price rebound. However, uncertain global macroeconomic conditions make it difficult to predict when a break in support and a move lower might occur. US Crude Oil Inventories saw a double decline, while drilling activity in the US decreased. WTI and Brent prices have been testing support levels, but each rebound has been less significant. The convergence of long-term resistance and support levels suggests an imminent decision for oil's direction. Geopolitical factors and economic indicators influence prices. Confirmation below $72 for Brent would indicate further downside potential.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.