WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF TO THE DOWNSIDE. $30k, $20'S....?

I follow CryptoCrewUniversity on youtube and love his technicals. This was one of his latests I thought is worth considering as everytime BTC's price action toy'd with the 200MA on the 3 day it didnt end well. BTC recently rubbed it again so will history repeat itself to the down side and give us another Bear Market bottom with a great buying oppurtunity? One last shake out before the breakout? With all the uncertainty in the world, the S&P500 rolling over, rate hikes, and a recession looming my gut feeling just has a hard time believing BTC will de-couple from all other risk on / off assets ( tech stocks) and hit an all time high this year. Life changing wealth is made in the Bear Markets. What are your thoughts ? let the banter begin