FocusWithin

Another Take on BTC

Short
FocusWithin Updated   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Note - Chart is set on log scale

Findings -

Elliot wave - Bearish Bias

Looking at a chart i pulled up

www.buybitcoinworldwide.com/price/

on BTC from 2009 ledger start date to present on log scale. My elliot wave count suggests we have completed a Multi year Supercycle from 2009 the ledger start date till recent highs 64000.
Wave 5 ended in a diagonal at 64000 which is the usual case.
After the completion of motive wave the retracement usually falls somewhere in the wave 4 region which i can see is 3000 - 20000. And i believe that where we are headed.

Moving average Crossover - Bearish Bias



EMA 9(blue) and MA20(orange) on weekly basis is showing very clear picture on the chart. 20ma has always been a spot on support in bull and bear cycles both. Bullish crossovers were start of a big move and bearish crossover at top presenting a start of big downward move. We can see the same bearish crossover at 2017 top as we have one now.

Aggeregated Open Interest of Bitcoin Futures - Bearish Bias
www.theblockcrypto.c...itcoin-futures-daily

As you will see on the chart it topped on 13 April and since then its been declining on all major Echanges.
Thanks for reading
Comment:

nice objective short trade set up being created
Comment:
Comment:

Support level - 22119 and 19268 and fibb levels shown if correcting the whole move
If daily close below 21000 expect it to go around 1300 which is fibbs .618

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