Kirs_Trader

BTCUSD is no longer Bearish!!!

Long
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
First of all let me say I am still learning!!!

Based on my study and applying what I am studying using Elliott Wave to BTC/USD I found it interesting.

First let me put the Guidelines for Elliott Wave from elliottwave-forecast...elliott-wave-theory/

Guidelines
• Impulse wave subdivide into 5 waves.
• Wave 2 can’t retrace more than the beginning of wave 1
• Wave 3 can not be the shortest wave of the three impulse waves, namely wave 1, 3, and 5
• Wave 4 does not overlap with the price territory of wave 1
• Wave 5 needs to end with momentum divergence

Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave 2 is 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, or 85.4% of wave 1
• Wave 3 is 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, or 323.6% of wave 1-2
• Wave 4 is 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3 but no more than 50%
• There are three different ways to measure wave 5. First, wave 5 is inverse 123.6 – 161.8% retracement of wave 4. Second, wave 5 is equal to wave 1. Third, wave 5 is 61.8% of wave 1-3

With that said, my calculation is BTC completed wave 2 of the Impulse Wave.

After 02/08/2018 BTC drop to $5,873 on GDAX and pull back to $11,775 on 02/20/2018 which completes Wave 1.
Assuming yesterday's low (03/30/2018) as the next low, it completes the Wave 2 of Impulse wave.

Forecasting:
Wave 3 needs to be 1.618 times the Wave 1 which puts it at around $16,100. Then there will be a pull back to Wave 4.
Wave 4 can go a max of 38.2% Pull back which puts it at $12,400.
Wave 5 will be the previous high of $19,891.

Here starts the Corrective Wave.

Thanks for reading!!!

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.