Wunderbit

False breakout of Bitcoin (BTC/USD 4H)

Wunderbit Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
The bitcoin price BTCUSD broke above the horizontal channel. However, the volume does not support this breakout. The price is aiming to retest the level of $11,100 as a new resistance level.

Trading plan:
If the price will continue to increase while the volume is decreasing this will confirm the false breakout and the fact that the price is driven by a large number of small traders. In this case, we would start looking for the reversal zone in the area of $11,000.

If the price increase will be accompanied by the increase in volume, then this will be the true breakout and we will end up in the previous horizontal channel between $11,100 and $12,000. After re-checking the level of 11,100 as support the long position can be opened.

If the price will hold between the area of $10,600 and $11,100 this will generate a nice opportunity for trading in the channel. As the long term movement of the BTC price can still be counted as a downward trend, the short selling in the horizontal channel is more appropriate.
Comment:
Reaching the target of 0.5 Fiba retracement. Entering the resistance zone. The 1H timeframe shows triple divergence while 4H RSI is getting into the overbought region.

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