mhfcrypto

BTCUSD : H&S potentially forming on 4HR. Careful.

Short
mhfcrypto Updated   
GEMINI:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Everyone is talking about the 'imminent Bull-run starting on the 6th June'.

So, because EVERYONE knows about the Pattern now, it usually becomes invalidated now. That's generally how Trading & Markets work, I'm sorry to say. When it doesn't occur (happy to be wrong!), there will be another sell-off. And we'll probably eventually re-visit $6.K or lower in the short-term.

Nevertheless, I have put on some Long-positions with tight Stop-Losses in case we do Bull run; if not, I'll just pay Brokerage Fees pretty much. I will be surprised in 6th June being the Bulls.

IMH0, we need proper and deep capitulation to usher in the new Bull-run and go Full Steam Ahead. So, don't fear the Bear :-)
Comment:
H&S probability just increased with 4HR MACD Bear-cross.

Going into Friday, will be interesting to see whether Traders want to hold their Bitcoins over the weekend, or sell for Fiat/Tether.

My ABC Elliott Wave correction (below) should be taken as a rough guide. But, IMH0, if we fall below $7550, the Bears will probably consider coming out of hibernation.

Trade closed: target reached:
H&S and Rising Wedge played out perfectly.

Wave A has performed better than I imagined reaching $7200 as I write this.

Amazing how few Likes you get when published Bear Scenarios ;-)
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.