Sunday Update - A last doomed battleline
To be honest, I am quite disappointed in bitcoin…
The wave movements from earlier this month looked promising, and I estimated that bitcoin would continue its rally in our projected wave (iii). Unfortunately, bitcoin lost its bullish momentum and since the last top we declined by nearly 4000$. The bearish movements have been considerable impulsive, and this is VERY unusual for a wave (iii). This resembles a clear warning “shot” and the probability of the highlighted alt.(i) – alt.(ii) has increased tremendously.
Bitcoin has formed a last doomed battle line at 26’536$, if we stay above this the scenario of a bullish wave (iii) remains. If the price should break below this level our alternative scenario gets activated, this would mean that bitcoin would crash into our highlighted green retracement zone (22043$ - 25279$).
This retracement zone consists of the 0.5, 0.618, and the 0.786 retracement – the most important levels of a wave (ii) correction… What may be good news to long-term holders may be a bad one for traders and especially scalpers. Personally, I wouldn’t mind another correction because it would offer another great opportunity to accumulate, but I can understand that traders with leveraged positions are stressed about this!
Mark the level of 26’536$ in your chart, if we break below this then our projected wave (iii) is invalidated. The alternative scenario alt.(ii) would push bitcoin back into the region of 22000$ or 24000$ which would be a great chance to further open long positions.
2D Chart - Bitcoin (Index!)
If you should face problems with the scaling of this chart, the normal scaled chart can be seen below.
Please note that we are already invested in Bitcoin since the 15th of June 2022, back then we announced our first positions on tradingview.
Long Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
AVERAGE EXECUTION PRICE: 20’714.20$
STOP-LOSS: NONE
LONGTERM TARET: +120’000$
The wave movements from earlier this month looked promising, and I estimated that bitcoin would continue its rally in our projected wave (iii). Unfortunately, bitcoin lost its bullish momentum and since the last top we declined by nearly 4000$. The bearish movements have been considerable impulsive, and this is VERY unusual for a wave (iii). This resembles a clear warning “shot” and the probability of the highlighted alt.(i) – alt.(ii) has increased tremendously.
Bitcoin has formed a last doomed battle line at 26’536$, if we stay above this the scenario of a bullish wave (iii) remains. If the price should break below this level our alternative scenario gets activated, this would mean that bitcoin would crash into our highlighted green retracement zone (22043$ - 25279$).
This retracement zone consists of the 0.5, 0.618, and the 0.786 retracement – the most important levels of a wave (ii) correction… What may be good news to long-term holders may be a bad one for traders and especially scalpers. Personally, I wouldn’t mind another correction because it would offer another great opportunity to accumulate, but I can understand that traders with leveraged positions are stressed about this!
Mark the level of 26’536$ in your chart, if we break below this then our projected wave (iii) is invalidated. The alternative scenario alt.(ii) would push bitcoin back into the region of 22000$ or 24000$ which would be a great chance to further open long positions.
2D Chart - Bitcoin (Index!)
If you should face problems with the scaling of this chart, the normal scaled chart can be seen below.
Please note that we are already invested in Bitcoin since the 15th of June 2022, back then we announced our first positions on tradingview.
Long Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
AVERAGE EXECUTION PRICE: 20’714.20$
STOP-LOSS: NONE
LONGTERM TARET: +120’000$
If you should have any questions regarding our analysis or elliot wave counts feel free to contact us.
As you can see on the TOTAL chart, the possibility that we are establishing a leading diagonal has increased tremendously.
This would change our bitcoin and Ethereum chart, I already noticed that they could have established a diagonal too!
I will update this in great detail this afternoon, stay tuned!