the bearish side:
- long-term macro trend line was broken (black line)
- short-term macro trend line is downward (red line)
- the overall macro liquidity situation is not good (check usd liquidity index and its delta-rate of change)
- miner's variable cost of production is around 16~18k under current hash rate and electricity cost structure
when to buy:
- the short-term bearish macro trend line (red) was broken out
- macro liquidity improved (usd liquidity index's delta-neutral, rate of change =0 or be positive)
Think Macro, Trade Micro.