IvanLabrie

$BTCUSD: The bear case...

Short
IvanLabrie Updated   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
If this stays down during next week, a weekly decline can trigger in $BTCUSD, sending #Bitcoin down towards the 14k region, where the next weekly support level sits.
I'm short Bitcoin and Ethereum here, which works well as a hedge for my stocks portfolio, and might generate some uncorrelated returns as well. You can likely short both vs the dollar, but also take a look at the $ETHBTC chart I published, if that trend reverses there, as per the daily, there's nice room to fall in the ratio, which might be an attractive play as well.
I'm thinking we will see a continued decline in crypto, but equities might hold up better overall, although likely under pressure, and sideways as the best case scenario for $SPY.
Stay safe out there,

Cheers.

Ivan Labrie.
Comment:
I sold my $BITI positions at the open today, was up 9% or so since I got in.
Waiting on the sidelines, noticed 1h had flashed an uptrend earlier today so I got out, but looking forward to fading this rebound if a weekly signal confirms on close... Might scoop some OTM puts soon.
Comment:
Maybe the 2018 style '6k obvious bottom everyone thought was a bottom' repeat?...
Trade active:
Once again net short $BTCUSD: Have longs in $ETHBTC as well.
Trade closed manually:
I am long $EHBTC, flat $BTCUSD itself...I suspect it will be range bound until November...

🔒Want to dive deeper? Check out my paid services below🔒

ivanlabrie.substack.com/
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.