Raul_Dominguez

Bitcoin Bearish Scenario

Short
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
BTCUSD

Bitcoin rose in a 5-wave sequence since mid-March to mid-August, as seen in the chart, a move that I will call, Intermediate Wave 1, in Elliott Wave Terms. And now it seems like intermediate Wave 2 is underway. The pattern that it seems to be forming is an ABC Zigzag, elliottwave-forecast...elliott-wave-theory/ , of which we already seen Minor Wave A, and now it appears like we are still forming Minor Wave B.

Minor Wave B seem to be a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern, elliottwave-forecast...elliott-wave-theory/ , of which we might still be missing one last wave up to about $10,800 USD or so, before Minor Wave C could start.

Minor Wave C should take us below Minor Wave A, a possible target is the $9,200 USD, which also coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement, a level where we also see a lot of volume according to the Volume Profile Analysis.

The trade will be to get in short once the triangle breaks to the downside, so we could put a Sell Stop Market Order with a Trigger at $10,350 USD, and a Stop at $11,000 USD. The target will be $9,200 USD. Risk-Reward Ratio 1.77 to 1, not great but O.K. I guess.

I hope you find this interesting and good luck to you.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.