Taiwan_Bear

You catching the knife AGAIN?

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
5153 views
140
What a dump yesterday! Not surprised at all since you all know that I have been waiting for my buy limit to hit between $6.8k - $7.3k (check link below). It took almost 3 months to complete but LOOK - PATIENCE ALWAYS PAYS OFF!

The drop was awesome as we can buy with a discount! Now, let's assess what is going to happen next:
$12000 was no doubt a weekly resistance which confirms the idea that as long as Bitcoin does not close weekly candle above $12000, there is no bull market. So, stop kidding yourself and be rational. What we have to focus now is WHAT PRICE TO BUY? We know there is a possibility that the uptrend since $3k is still intact and the current drop may be a possible major wave 2. In that perspective, you simply find an ideal price to get in. But, certainly not buying in right at this moment (if you have not learnt your lesson from Nov 2018 when it dropped below $6k).

From the chart above, I have marked 2x POI that I will be buying in using all the profits I have made previously. The reasons being:
1st POI: 61.8% - 65% fib retracement + weekly 50MA + structures
2nd POI: 76.4% - 78.6% fib retracement + weekly 200MA + structures

Simple? See how I never over-complicate my analysis with so many indicators and so many reasons. Keep it simple! In saying that, I do assess many possibilities but only present you with the most probable scenarios that I think will play out.

If you need more confirmation, wait for price to break above the downtrend line (in black) and/or weekly RSI to go above 54.6 (2017 bull market started after weekly RSI broke above 54)

If you appreciate what I have done for you (you should have either made decent profits or saved from buying above $9k), then don't forget to press the LIKE and leave some comments below :)
Comment: TA back in July:

$12000 weekly resistance:
Comment: Be cautious if you are thinking of opening a short now. $7750 is the price level that the parabolic movement started from $7750 - $13800. Coincidentally, it's also where the weekly 50EMA is sitting at right now.

Comment: If you are in my group, you should have secured some profits around $8.4k - $8.5k. Resistance level hit on the dot!

Support at $7750 also worked amazingly.

Comments

@Taiwan_Bear, your analyses are always simple, easy to understand and straight to the point. More importantly, they are honest - when you hit a stop loss you say so and when there is nothing to be said, you do not post. Wish there were more people like you here. Thank you and keep up the good work!
+5 Reply
@arasbr, That's real lovely. I am happy that there are people out there who understand what I am trying to do for this community.

Thanks for taking the time to leave a comment.
+2 Reply
As always great pleasure reading your quality analysis :)
+4 Reply
@Awier18, Thanks Awier. Haven't seen you for a while. Hope everything is going well with you.
+2 Reply
Good morning Bear !
+4 Reply
Taiwan_Bear shimmeringpath
@shimmeringpath, Morning bud ! Thanks for leaving a message (as well as last time)
+2 Reply
Damn man, how come I missed this, this analysis is so so good
And it has a historic that turned out to come true, very impressed man
+3 Reply
@NQ95, It's ok, there are many opportunities in the market.

Hope you went well with your S&P trade.
+2 Reply
NQ95 Taiwan_Bear
@Taiwan_Bear, Yes ur right
Im contemplating to sell alts at a loss atm (10-30%) and also short Btc a bit in the 8.5-9.5 area

But the fear of getting trapped, alts pumping mainly, keeps me away from selling

The charts look awful though

This dilemma is too much lol

What would you consider a sensible approach to this, do you see alts crashing badly from here?
+1 Reply
NQ95 NQ95
@NQ95, btw what S&P trade :))
+1 Reply
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