bsalem

BTC to drop to possibly 1.5k.

Short
bsalem Updated   
CEXIO:BTCUSD   None
Hi,
Newbie back again with my second chart.

This one showing CEXIO:BTCUSD to drop to possible 1-1.5 K levels.

I had heard over the weekend that some of the big investment firms use a 100 day SMA as an indicator whether the market was healthy. Looking at the state of CEXIO:BTCUSD, we almost reached the 100 day SMA but not quite.

News sites which publish their analysis use the 50 day SMA and 20 day EMA. I don't find the 20 day EMA personally useful but believe the 50 day SMA is a good indicator. As we can see from the chart, CEXIO:BTCUSD did not break out from the downward trend channel or through the 50 day SMA which were almost intersecting.

I've decided to use both, a downward trend channel (which I've seen drawn incorrectly or too narrow by others who called a breakout), and a crude elliot wave with my trend prediction.

I'm no @MagicPoopCannon, @UnknownUnicorn180388 or @alanmasters. I think they are great technical experts even though they may be different in their approach.

Let me know your thoughts!
Comment:
Still new to this and screwed up the BTC Symbol.
Comment:
You can see that there is resistance at the 0.5 resistance and an attempted breakout past the 20 day EMA.

There is a bear flag forming (in yellow) and if there is no significant closing past $1050 in the next few days, there will be a drop.
Comment:
Bitcoin did not break the downward trend even though there were great gains. I expect to see a sharp drop soon.
Comment:
Hi All,
I don't see the bullish move everyone else does. I based my trends with overlays from other exchanges to give a better view as to the trend line. I see everyone showing a breakout but not here. There is now two bearish lines to overcome.

Comment:
BTC is currently attempting to break past the 50 day SMA and the down trend line. I see very low volumes in trading which does not bode well as there needs to be a strong upward push to get past bear resistance.

Comment:
Previous was Bitfinex, this is CEX which my original chart was based off of.

Comment:
BTC has broken out of the downward trend but is not surpassing the bearish wall at $11,600. Not recommending any buy opportunity until it gets about 12K

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