TomProTrader

BTC/USD - Breakout Or Trap?

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Bitcoin, in spite of breaking out from the side-wards resistance, doesn't appear to have done so with much strength. The overall market sentiment seems to be weak. Yesterday price broke the side-wards resistance line. It initially started off with a HUGE green candle, which by candle closing, closed with a HUGE wick resulting in a shooting star signal, which implies general rejection of the up move. This is why it's so important to ALWAYS wait for a retest after a breakout before investing, because only the noobs buy the breakout and they get burned.

As it stands, price is in the bullish territory, but in reality, how important is that when the candles are showing a possible bull trap? This is something that needs to be determined by making some conditions.

There's a few conditions to be met in order to fully confirm the up move. They are:

1) Bitcoin must NOT close below 6560 again in order for the bullish breakout to stand.

2) Price must break above 6660 (If taking an aggressive stance), or 6749 (Conservative trading strategy) and RETEST it for a safe buy opportunity. Now there's the huge shooting star signal, we now need to break the top of the shooting star range before taking a buy. By not waiting, it's too risky.

There's also a condition that qualifies for a short.

1) Break below 6550 would break side-wards support which negates ALL the higher lows recently. It'd be a nice short opportunity.

Where do YOU think price is headed? Leave a comment with a chart and let's share our thoughts!

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