AxiomEx

Strategic Long and Short Opportunities Amidst Market Volatility

COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Bitcoin is trading at $61,072, demonstrating a slight upward momentum of approximately 0.47% within the last trading session. The market is showing signs of volatility as reflected in the recent price movements and the overall trend direction.

The Ichimoku Cloud on the 4-hour chart indicates that Bitcoin is currently trading within a consolidation phase. The price is interacting with the Kumo (cloud), suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment.

Tenkan-Sen (Conversion Line): Approximately $61,054
Kijun-Sen (Base Line): Approximately $61,228
The conversion line is slightly below the base line, signaling potential bearish pressure. The current price is within the cloud, indicating a state of equilibrium between buyers and sellers.

All significant moving averages (10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 EMA & SMA) suggest a selling signal:
10 EMA/SMA: ~$61,272 / ~$61,337
20 EMA/SMA: ~$61,653 / ~$61,671
50 EMA/SMA: ~$62,076 / ~$62,678
100 EMA/SMA: ~$62,587 / ~$62,210
200 EMA/SMA: ~$63,487 / ~$64,119
These values imply that the short to long-term momentum is leaning towards the bearish side, with the current price being below most of these averages.

RSI (14): At 43.19 - Reflects neutral conditions, closer to the oversold territory.
Stochastic RSI (3, 3, 14, 14): At 24.57 - Neutral, leaning towards oversold.
MACD (12, 26): MACD level at -439.46, signal indicates a sell, showing bearish momentum.

CCI (20): -48.68 - Neutral, suggests the market is neither overbought nor oversold.
Momentum:

Momentum (10): At -1773.60 - Indicates a buy signal, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
Pivots:

Support Levels:
S1: $58,773
S2: $53,522
S3: $45,294

Resistance Levels:
R1: $67,000
R2: $69,978
R3: $78,206

Price Prediction: Given the current technical indicators and market sentiment, Bitcoin appears to be in a consolidation phase with a slight bearish bias. The key levels to watch are the support at $58,773 and resistance at $67,000.

Long Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above the $62,500 resistance level with strong volume.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss around $61,000 to manage downside risk.
Take Profit: Target the next resistance at $67,000, with a secondary target at $69,978.
Short Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider shorting if Bitcoin falls below the $60,000 support level.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss near $61,500 to mitigate losses.
Take Profit: Aim for a take profit at the $58,000 support level, with a further target at $53,522 if the bearish trend continues.

Bitcoin’s current technical setup suggests a cautious approach, with potential opportunities for both long and short trades depending on key breakout or breakdown levels. Traders should closely monitor the Ichimoku Cloud boundaries, moving averages, and key oscillators to gauge the market's next move effectively.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.