EXCAVO
Education

Logistic curve

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
If you do not trade, it's time to learn

All about logistic curve

The logistic curve describes the speed of information dissemination among people. This graph describes the distribution of information in an environment.
At first, a instrument is of little interest to anyone, investors are afraid of buying it, and its price fluctuates around r °. At this time, the initiated ("elite"), solely owning important information, begin to buy it, the price slightly grows. Then the information is shared with a small circle of insiders, individual purchases grow into active buying, the price of the instrument abruptly takes off. The general public is perplexed and can not understand what is the reason. At the third stage, news comes out and investors fearing not to have time to "jump into the last car" buy up this tool that the "elite" and "proxies" are happy to sell to them at the maximum price (with joy, because at that time the "elite" there is already new information that the "elite" has taken into account, a new logistic curve in another instrument begins, or in the same, but with another sign, sales begin). The third stage is completed, when the whole society is aware of what happened, discuss everywhere, in the metro , all who could have already made There is no one to sell.

Practice of application: the most important is to determine at what stage the price for the asset is now at which you paid attention and in relation to which you received some information. You can recognize and apply the Elliott waves .
The main thing is not to get into the crowd number at stage 3. If in all financial newspapers, on news sites, on TV there is a discussion of news / ideas - in fact, it is no longer news, this crowd of investors are bred, and this idea should not be used as its defining action (unless with another sign, directly opposite).
Examples in life and the stock market abound. On the classics the same was done with bitcoin last year
People do not change over time. Information and actions of the consonant received information people do the same actions.
The only thing that changes is the slope of the logistic curve - information dissemination rate

As a rule, 90% of bulls in high. And then the market unfolds and vice versa
If you are constantly being told the same thing, then everybody knows it already. It is necessary to look not at the news
If everyone around you screams the same thing, then you are in the upper zone
The task of stepping back from the noise

The main task is to be in the lower green zone. "When there's blood on the streets, buy property"
Aug 17
Comment:
Oct 10
Comment: Cryptocurrency market has been moving in a narrow price range for a long time and many traders are losing money trying to catch a "new trend". But it is a flat! The best way in this situation is to hold USD until a new trend forms and then get a right position.
But how long shall we wait for this become?
On 12th October mr.EXCAVO is starting first of his webinars where he will share his own expert opinion about this issue.
Click the link below to not miss this exclusive opportunity. This bot will inform you about exact time of webinar and will remind you in advance about it.
https://t.me/Excavo_family_bot
Nov 20
Trade active: We in good zone

Related Ideas

So good!
Reply
Just saw this, after a while.. Respect mister.
Reply
it is amazing
Reply
We're looking to play the bull flag with the impulse to consolidation to impulse move back up while looking out for resistance. Still up 3.73% today!
Reply
Very nice! Thank you. I have bookmarked this haha!
Reply
@EXCAVO World currency (dubbed 'Phoenix') predicted to be in existence by 2018, in a January 1988 The Economist article.

"THIRTY years from now, Americans, Japanese, Europeans, and people in many other rich countries, and some relatively poor ones will probably be paying for their shopping with the same currency. Prices will be quoted not in dollars, yen or D-marks but in, let’s say, the phoenix. The phoenix will be favoured by companies and shoppers because it will be more convenient than today’s national currencies, which by then will seem a quaint cause of much disruption to economic life in the last twentieth century."

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-07-09/economist-get-ready-world-currency-2018
Reply
Total Coin Market Cap : 2014 vs 2018
+1 Reply
@pkb6698, Good chart.
Reply
Love your work. Just found it. I call this linking of discourse/information to asset price movement "rhetorical finance". Very cool stuff. Looking forward to more of your analysis:

Reply
I have to agree with most people, you did excellent job! and I highly appreciate this kind of work, it improves the community!. Congrats!
+1 Reply
Home Stock Screener Forex Screener Crypto Screener Economic Calendar Shows How It Works Chart Features Pricing Refer a friend House Rules Help Center Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Charting Solutions Lightweight Charting Library Blog & News Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing Refer a friend My Support Tickets Help Center Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out