BTCUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 65% BTC, 35% Cash.
*Risk-On markets responded positively to the FOMC Minutes today in which most FOMC participants and staff agreed that a 50bps rate hike in December is appropriate and that the odds of a recession in 2023 are quite low at the moment. New Residential Homes sales for November came in at 632k, up 7.5% from October; this metric is rather interesting considering that 30-year mortgage rates are currently at ~7%. November's S&P US Manufacturing PMI is 47.2, down from 50.7 in October; this is a 30-month low and signals weakening demand (which is good in the eyes of the Federal Reserve). The UofM Consumer Sentiment Index for November came in at 56.8, down from 59.9 in October. Meanwhile, Russia continues to bombard Ukraine's power grid with missile attacks in efforts to weaken Ukrainians' resolve throughout the winter; Moldova's power grid is connected to Ukraine's and they are now suffering too as a result.
Cryptos, Equities, Equity Futures, Metals, HSI, NI225, N100, CNYUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD and EURUSD are up. DXY, US Treasuries, VIX, Energy and Agriculture are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: 2nd BEA Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14.*
Price is currently trending up at $16600 after bouncing off of the uptrend line from March 2017 at ~$15600. Volume finished High (moderate) in yesterday's session and is on track to favor buyers for a third consecutive session if it can close today's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $18523, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up slightly at 41 and is beginning to form a soft peak as it approaches 42.41 resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 97 as it approaches max top. MACD has just crossed over bullish in today's session at -868 minor support. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 44 as Price is beginning to trend up, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to continue up then it will likely test the 50MA at ~$18800 as resistance. However, if Price breaks down here, it will have the uptrend line from March 2017 at ~$15800 as support before potentially breaking down and retesting $13477 minor support for the first time since November 2020. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $15500.
*Risk-On markets responded positively to the FOMC Minutes today in which most FOMC participants and staff agreed that a 50bps rate hike in December is appropriate and that the odds of a recession in 2023 are quite low at the moment. New Residential Homes sales for November came in at 632k, up 7.5% from October; this metric is rather interesting considering that 30-year mortgage rates are currently at ~7%. November's S&P US Manufacturing PMI is 47.2, down from 50.7 in October; this is a 30-month low and signals weakening demand (which is good in the eyes of the Federal Reserve). The UofM Consumer Sentiment Index for November came in at 56.8, down from 59.9 in October. Meanwhile, Russia continues to bombard Ukraine's power grid with missile attacks in efforts to weaken Ukrainians' resolve throughout the winter; Moldova's power grid is connected to Ukraine's and they are now suffering too as a result.
Cryptos, Equities, Equity Futures, Metals, HSI, NI225, N100, CNYUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD and EURUSD are up. DXY, US Treasuries, VIX, Energy and Agriculture are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: 2nd BEA Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am (EST) 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14.*
Price is currently trending up at $16600 after bouncing off of the uptrend line from March 2017 at ~$15600. Volume finished High (moderate) in yesterday's session and is on track to favor buyers for a third consecutive session if it can close today's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $18523, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up slightly at 41 and is beginning to form a soft peak as it approaches 42.41 resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 97 as it approaches max top. MACD has just crossed over bullish in today's session at -868 minor support. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 44 as Price is beginning to trend up, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to continue up then it will likely test the 50MA at ~$18800 as resistance. However, if Price breaks down here, it will have the uptrend line from March 2017 at ~$15800 as support before potentially breaking down and retesting $13477 minor support for the first time since November 2020. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $15500.